What happens in 2016 decides the election results for the following four cycles
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  What happens in 2016 decides the election results for the following four cycles
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Author Topic: What happens in 2016 decides the election results for the following four cycles  (Read 4422 times)
heatmaster
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« on: September 18, 2013, 06:11:04 AM »
« edited: November 25, 2013, 05:40:57 PM by heatmaster »

As the 2016 presidential election kicks into gear, Hillary Clinton decides against running and the Democrats have a donnybrook of a contest, with Joe Biden, Andrew Cuomo, Martin O'Malley and Deval Patrick vying for support in the primaries; Biden emerges with enough support and is the Democratic nominee, he selects Senator Kirsten Gillibrand of New York, in a bid to blunt New Jersey Governor Chris Christie's north eastern appeal. Christie is the Republican presidential nominee and selects Governor Susana Martinez of New Mexico as his running mate. Despite his age and his tendency to on the bombastic side, Biden with Obama's support proves to be a far more durable candidate.
The outcome on Election Day, 2016 is anything but a foregone conclusion and Election night is a nail biter.
Here is the map for Election 2016.

The Democrats win the White House; but despite his narrow loss; Chris Christie will make another bid for the presidency and does so in 2020; he faces Marco Rubio of Florida in the primaries, he selects Rubio to be his running mate. Joe Biden decides against running for a second term and Kirsten Gillibrand wins the Democratic nomination, she selects Congressman Joaquin Castro of Texas.
Christie/Martinez 265
Biden/Gillibrand 273
Here's the election outcome for 2020.

Christie/Rubio 351
Gillibrand/Castro 187
Christie's tenure in the White House was one where terrorism was front and center; the ongoing battle with Democrats over entitlement reform and differences on Obamacare raged; despite these headaches, Christie was enjoying high popularity ratings. He managed to win confirmation for two supreme court nominee's. With the 2024 Presidential election as a distraction, Christie had his eye on the polls and the increased likelihood that his opponent in the election might be either Senator Corey Booker of New Jersey or Governor Gavin Newsom of California.
The Democrats as it turned out, settled on a Newsom-Booker combo to face the Christie-Rubio duo and thus the 2024 contest was set.
The outcome was a rout in favor of Christie and the result

Christie/Rubio 465
Newsom/Booker 73




A more equally interesting outcome, is that Newsom proves to be more resourceful and stronger opponent than previously expected, the result is a setback for Christie, who had hoped for a mandate.

Christie's second term, was more or less an encore of what was left undone from the first term; like all president's who were gifted with an extension on there lease at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue, there is a need to replenish there presidential reputation and in that regard, Christie was more luckier than other two-term president's. His Vice President, Marco Rubio was the defacto nominee of the party come 2028; Christie had a hands-off mentality toward an election where he would have little say.
With Election Day, 2028 approaching; the Republicans had opted for Rubio and the Democrats for the part went with Texas Governor Julian Castro; for the first time in history both party's would have Hispanic contenders for the top job. Rubio had gone with Senator Kelly Ayote of New Hampshire, for a vice presidential nominee, while Castro had gone with Connecticut Senator Chris Murphy.
Despite some hiccups along the way, Rubio made a better case for staying the course than Castro could make for change.
The result was another slam dunk for the Republicans and Rubio did a lot better than Christie had done four years previously. He became the fourth serving Vice President in 192 years to win the top job, the other three being Van Buren in 1836, GHWB in 1988 and Biden in 2016.
The result was:

Rubio/Ayotte 517
Castro/Murphy 21



Rubio's presidency was more or less a continuation of the policies set down by Christie during his eight years; Rubio was in many ways the Republican party to Obama and no sooner than he had settled into the Oval office, than he began focusing on securing a second term.
Christie said of his own understudy, Rubio was all "sizzle and no steak".
These criticisms leveled by Christie on his former No. 2 didn't deter Rubio and the president for his part retorted "Chris must think his larger than life approach to life is a vocation - he's so used to it...poor guy".
Nevertheless the outcome was to be another GOP blow-out and it was the fourth straight victory for the Republicans; never since the era of McKinley-Roosevelt-Taft had it been so good.

Rubio/Ayotte 262
Booker/Clinton 276
Or Booker could defeat Rubio quite decisively, who knows.



Rubio gave his support to Ayotte in 2036 and she won by a reduced margin of victory.
Here's her map.


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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #1 on: September 18, 2013, 09:20:31 AM »

Warner not Gillibrand would be selected due to Biden's age and importance of Va. And if Christie isn't winning in 2016, Rubio would be the nominee.
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heatmaster
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« Reply #2 on: September 18, 2013, 12:38:46 PM »

That might be true, but as Virginia is becoming more of a purple state and favorable towards Democrats, it's more conceivable that Biden and his strategists calculate, that Virginia is winnable and therefore the idea of Gillibrand works well with demographics and there is a safe bet, that many Obama campaign specialist's would be whispering in Biden's ear (look at Obama selecting Biden in 2008, geography was not the reason why Biden got the nod, it was demographics plain and simple). So given that piece of history, it's more than likely that Biden would see gender trumping geography any day of the week and the fact Kirsten Gillibrand brings a lot more to the table than Warner ever did. Besides Warner reminds me as kinda bland and why is he gonna be more appealing in 2016? Than in 2008, Obama could have picked have picked him in '08 and he didn't.
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PolitiJunkie
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« Reply #3 on: September 18, 2013, 02:06:41 PM »

That might be true, but as Virginia is becoming more of a purple state and favorable towards Democrats, it's more conceivable that Biden and his strategists calculate, that Virginia is winnable and therefore the idea of Gillibrand works well with demographics and there is a safe bet, that many Obama campaign specialist's would be whispering in Biden's ear (look at Obama selecting Biden in 2008, geography was not the reason why Biden got the nod, it was demographics plain and simple). So given that piece of history, it's more than likely that Biden would see gender trumping geography any day of the week and the fact Kirsten Gillibrand brings a lot more to the table than Warner ever did. Besides Warner reminds me as kinda bland and why is he gonna be more appealing in 2016? Than in 2008, Obama could have picked have picked him in '08 and he didn't.

Fully agree
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #4 on: September 18, 2013, 03:52:01 PM »

That's why the ticket is gonna be Hillary not Biden. There is an enthusiasm gap with the economy still sluggish. Hilary and Warner should be the ticket, instead.
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