NH-PPP: Shaheen solid
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Author Topic: NH-PPP: Shaheen solid  (Read 2762 times)
Miles
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« on: September 17, 2013, 01:51:06 PM »
« edited: September 17, 2013, 01:52:44 PM by MilesC56 »

Report.

Jeanne Shaheen (D)- 51%
Charlie Bass (R)- 41%

Jeanne Shaheen- 48%
Scott Brown- 44%

Jeanne Shaheen- 52%
Dan Innis- 30%

Jeanne Shaheen- 50%
Jim Rubens- 33%

Jeanne Shaheen- 51%
Bob Smith- 35%

Jeanne Shaheen- 50%
Karen Testerman- 31%

Shaheen's approvals are 49/42. Other than the first two, the Republicans have over 50% with no opinion. Brown is 40/40, Bass is 28/47.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #1 on: September 17, 2013, 02:24:24 PM »

I would like Bass, but he seems like a spent political force. Not sure why they keep pushing Brown, seems like he's done.
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Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden
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« Reply #2 on: September 17, 2013, 03:03:46 PM »

I would like Bass, but he seems like a spent political force.

Not to mention he's tied to corruption.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #3 on: September 17, 2013, 03:22:06 PM »

Lean D.... This Seat falls in a GOP wave, is safe in almost any other circumstance.

BTW... Bob Smith, Really?!
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Miles
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« Reply #4 on: September 17, 2013, 08:17:38 PM »

New Poll: New Hampshire Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2013-09-16

Summary: D: 51%, R: 41%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Morning in Atlas
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« Reply #5 on: September 18, 2013, 12:27:11 PM »

Lean D.... This Seat falls in a GOP wave, is safe in almost any other circumstance.

BTW... Bob Smith, Really?!

Safe D. I'm still a little skeptical about Bass coming in, considering he's at his ceiling and it's ten points behind. [urlhttp://www.buzzfeed.com/evanmcsan/new-hampshire-senate-candidate-more-women-in-the-workplace-l]Rubens is a hell of a lot crazier than I thought too.[/url]
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Maxwell
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« Reply #6 on: September 18, 2013, 02:41:22 PM »

I would like Bass, but he seems like a spent political force.

Not to mention he's tied to corruption.

Now it's a little bit less. Jesus Republican bench in New Hampshire...
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #7 on: September 18, 2013, 04:04:18 PM »

Unless something changes, doesn't seem like R's have a good chance at picking this one up. This was supposed to be one of the likelier pickups after the red state democrats. Although +10 isn't too bad, still some work needs to be done to be seriously considered on the list of possible republican pickups.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #8 on: September 18, 2013, 05:14:31 PM »

The women like Landrieu and Tennant especially, in addition to Hagen have been tough this election cycle. Setting up Hillary in 16.
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Morning in Atlas
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« Reply #9 on: September 21, 2013, 12:19:31 AM »

Unless something changes, doesn't seem like R's have a good chance at picking this one up. This was supposed to be one of the likelier pickups after the red state democrats. Although +10 isn't too bad, still some work needs to be done to be seriously considered on the list of possible republican pickups.

Which is why we really can't predict anything about 2016 anywhere. In 2010 it looked like Shaheen (and whoever Lynch's successor turned out to be) were in serious danger because of the wave. Look what happened in 2012. Ayotte could be strongly bolstered for reelection in the same way she was.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #10 on: September 22, 2013, 07:51:12 AM »

I am not counting on NH as a pickup opportunity in 2016 even though Clinton may win it after top tier Ill, Wisc., and Pa, Dems have a better chance in Az should McCain retires with Kirkpatrick. But Quigley must run first and Feingold. We already know Sestak is running.
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Vosem
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« Reply #11 on: September 22, 2013, 08:47:08 AM »

The women like Landrieu and Tennant especially, in addition to Hagen have been tough this election cycle. Setting up Hillary in 16.

That really doesn't make any sense
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #12 on: September 22, 2013, 08:57:08 AM »
« Edited: September 22, 2013, 08:59:28 AM by OC »

There is an enthusiasm gap with female voters and putting women on Democratic ballots like Shaheen and Tennant and another Clinton does bridge that gap. By the time 2016 rolls around, the employer mandate on obamacare will be in place and females, especially, will like health insurance, for birth control reason. Breast cancer awareness, having babies and abortions.
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Vosem
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« Reply #13 on: September 22, 2013, 09:55:11 AM »

There is an enthusiasm gap with female voters and putting women on Democratic ballots like Shaheen and Tennant and another Clinton does bridge that gap. By the time 2016 rolls around, the employer mandate on obamacare will be in place and females, especially, will like health insurance, for birth control reason. Breast cancer awareness, having babies and abortions.

You know there're more female voters than male, right? And that Hillary won't be on the ballot in 2014, 2016 being 2 years later (and that she may not be on the ballot then, either, as all indications from her inner circle are that she's legitimately undecided)?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #14 on: September 22, 2013, 01:19:50 PM »

And females prefer the obamacare law over men. There will be a female on the dem side, either for prez or vp Gillibrand and Warren.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #15 on: September 22, 2013, 02:14:28 PM »

I doubt Scott Brown would actually make it that close. New Hampshire is proud of their independent streak, I highly doubt they'd throw out one of their own for a rejected former Massachusetts senator.
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PolitiJunkie
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« Reply #16 on: September 22, 2013, 03:20:45 PM »

I doubt Scott Brown would actually make it that close. New Hampshire is proud of their independent streak, I highly doubt they'd throw out one of their own for a rejected former Massachusetts senator.

Yeah carpetbagging won't work here like it did in New York.
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Nichlemn
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« Reply #17 on: September 23, 2013, 04:59:13 AM »

Lean D.... This Seat falls in a GOP wave, is safe in almost any other circumstance.

BTW... Bob Smith, Really?!

Safe D. I'm still a little skeptical about Bass coming in, considering he's at his ceiling and it's ten points behind. [urlhttp://www.buzzfeed.com/evanmcsan/new-hampshire-senate-candidate-more-women-in-the-workplace-l]Rubens is a hell of a lot crazier than I thought too.[/url]

It's New Hampshire.  Nothing is "safe" over a year out from an election. It's not as if Shaheen is pulling off Susan Collins-like leads, either.
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