Presidential Candidate Over/Under Performance.

[Thomas D]

1964-LBJ- 61.05%

Over-Red-301
Under-Blue-237

[Thomas D]

1972-Nixon- 60.76%

Under-Red-271
Over-Blue-267

[Thomas D]

1988-Bush- 53.37%

Over-Blue-278
Under-Red-260

[Thomas D]

1984-Reagan- 58.77%

Over-Blue-306
Under-Red-232


Feel free to do others.   I'll post more in the coming days.

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

These are states above/below the national average right?

[Thomas D]

These are states above/below the national average right?

Yeah, In the first map the red states are where LBJ got higher then 61.05% of the vote.

[Thomas D]

1920-Harding- 60.32%

Over-Blue- 271
Under-Red-260

[Thomas D]

1936-FDR- 60.80%

Under-Blue- 309
Over-Red- 222

[Thomas D]

1956-Eisenhower- 57.37%

Under-Red- 284
Over-Blue-247

[Thomas D]

1980-Reagan- 50.75%

Under-Red- 284
Over-Blue- 244

[Thomas D]

1992-Clinton- 43.01%

Over-Red- 285
Under-Blue- 253

[Thomas D]

1996-Clinton- 49.23%

Under-Blue- 293
Over-Red- 245

[ElectionsGuy]

2000 - Bush (I'm going be Margin of Victory Here)

Bush Over perform: 306
Bush Under perform: 225
Exactly tied with national Margin of Victory: 7

[PolitiJunkie]

2000 - Bush (I'm going be Margin of Victory Here)

Bush Over perform: 306
Bush Under perform: 225
Exactly tied with national Margin of Victory: 7

Well considering Bush's margin of victory was negative...

[Mister Mets]

1936-FDR- 60.80%

Under-Blue- 309
Over-Red- 222

Interesting. Assuming a uniform swing, FDR would have had to outperform the popular vote by four percent to make that happen.

Of course, he ended up doing much more than that.

[Thomas D]

1912-Wilson- 41.84%

Under-Blue- 308
Over-Red- 223

[Thomas D]

1928-Hoover- 58.21%

Under-Red- 296
Over-Blue- 235

[Thomas D]

1968-Nixon- 43.42%

Over-Blue- 347
Under-Red- 191

[barfbag]

1968-Nixon- 43.42%

Over-Blue- 347
Under-Red- 191

Weren't both of the candidates under their performance in a few of the southern states?

[Thomas D]

1968-Nixon- 43.42%

Over-Blue- 347
Under-Red- 191

Weren't both of the candidates under their performance in a few of the southern states?

All of the southern states. Thanks to Wallace obviously.

[Thomas D]

As long as we're on the topic of the 'Wallace effect'


1968-Humphery- 42.72%

Over-Red- 312
Under-Blue- 226

[Thomas D]

1992-Perot- 18.91%

Over-Green- 313
Under-Yellow- 225

[ElectionsGuy]

1980 - Anderson (6.6%)

Yellow - Under
Green - Over

[Dancing with Myself]

Robert LaFollete 1924:   16.62%

Green- Over   (161 EV's)
Yellow- Under (306 EV's)




With Popular Vote %:

LaFollete got over 40% in three states

[Dancing with Myself]

William Taft 1912 23.18%:

Over (Blue)- 240
Under (Red)- 286  


Talk about an interesting map, if a candidate got something like this nowadays it would be really bizarre.  He wasn't the Republican in South Dakota, Roosevelt was the candidate, hence the grey.