VA-PPP: McAuliffe (D) ahead by 4, Sarvis (L) has 7% support
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  VA-PPP: McAuliffe (D) ahead by 4, Sarvis (L) has 7% support
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Author Topic: VA-PPP: McAuliffe (D) ahead by 4, Sarvis (L) has 7% support  (Read 872 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: July 16, 2013, 10:27:33 AM »

New Poll: Virginia Governor by Public Policy Polling on 2013-07-14

Summary: D: 41%, R: 37%, L: 7%, U: 15%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1 on: July 16, 2013, 10:29:10 AM »

3rd-party candidates are usually overestimated in the pre-election polls, unless they have a solid amount of money. On election day, people prefer not to waste their votes though.

But Sarvis could be an alternative here. Still I don't think he'll get more than 3-5% in the end.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #2 on: July 16, 2013, 10:40:17 AM »

He could become this year's Marshall Coleman.
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Rowan
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« Reply #3 on: July 16, 2013, 02:36:46 PM »

Yeah, I don't know why PPP included him in the poll(or at the least didn't include a head-to-head question w/o the third party candidate).
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Maxwell
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« Reply #4 on: July 16, 2013, 08:32:31 PM »

He could become this year's Marshall Coleman.

I don't think it's very identical (Coleman was a Republican politican for decades before he ran as an independent in that Senate race), but I actually did some research and found that Richard Sarvis did run as a Republican in 2011 for Virginia State Senate and lost in a largely Democratic District 62-36. Him running as a Libertarian could gain more support than the generic Libertarian run because he has already been a GOP nominee before. That's a similarity.

Though it would be more like Marshall Coleman if Bill Bolling ran.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #5 on: July 17, 2013, 12:17:10 AM »

Yeah, I don't know why PPP included him in the poll(or at the least didn't include a head-to-head question w/o the third party candidate).

The results wouldn't change much, because Sarvis takes almost the same amount of votes away from Republicans and Democrats.
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barfbag
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« Reply #6 on: July 17, 2013, 09:13:59 PM »

Yeah, I don't know why PPP included him in the poll(or at the least didn't include a head-to-head question w/o the third party candidate).

The results wouldn't change much, because Sarvis takes almost the same amount of votes away from Republicans and Democrats.

A lot can happen between now and November though.
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