Largest Cities to Go Republican in Each State

[ElectionsGuy]

A lot of these are guesses, but I have knowledge of race and precinct results here to help me.
Respond, discuss, and correct me if I'm wrong.

Biggest Cities for each state to vote republican, NOT counties.

Alabama: Huntsville
Alaska: Anchorage
Arizona: Mesa
Arkansas: Fort Smith
California: Bakersfield
Colorado: Colorado Springs
Connecticut: Greenwich
Delaware: Hockessin?
Florida: Jacksonville
Georgia: Sandy Springs
Hawaii: Laie CDP
Idaho: Nampa
Illinois: Wheaton
Indiana: Fort Wayne
Iowa: Ankey
Kansas: Wichita
Kentucky: Owensboro
Louisiana: Lafayette
Maine: Brewer
Maryland: Dundalk
Massachusetts: Billerica
Michigan: Livonia
Minnesota: Maple Grove.
Mississippi: Gulfport
Missouri: Springfield
Montana: Billings
Nebraska: Bellevue
Nevada: Henderson
New Hampshire: Derry
New Jersey: Toms River
New Mexico: Rio Rancho
New York: Oyster Bay
North Carolina: Concord
North Dakota: Bismark
Ohio: Hamilton
Oklahoma: Oklahoma City
Oregon: Medford.
Pennsylvania: Atloona
Rhode Island: East Greenwich
South Carolina: Mount Pleasant
South Dakota: Souix Falls
Tennessee: Clarksville
Texas: Arlington
Utah: West Valley City
Vermont: Morgan
Virginia: Virginia Beach
Washington: Yakima
West Virginia: Parkersburg
Wisconsin: Waukesha
Wyoming: Cheyenne

Again, if I'm wrong, correct me.

[ElectionsGuy]

Ni'ihau is Native Hawai'ian, not Asian. And after always voting overwhelmingly Republican it went over to Obama in 2012. Romney won a precinct or two somewhere on O'ahu, but not places (there aren't, technically, any cities in the state.)

Thanks for correction. I just typed the rest of the damn thing and it timed out!!

[ElectionsGuy]

Ok, it's up again after I retyped the whole rest of it again. The blank ones are the states that I don't know. We can have a discussion on any of those.

[ElectionsGuy]

Thanks to everyone for providing me help. Appreciate it. I'll make corrections in a sec.

[ElectionsGuy]

Who did Fresno vote for?

Obama easily, the rest of the county is much more republican.

[ElectionsGuy]

Also, in Georgia, Sandy Springs is larger than Roswell.

Your right, just barely. I should stop relying on Yahoo and more on actual census info.

[ElectionsGuy]

States left to figure out for confidence.

Alabama
Connecticut
Delaware
Kentucky
New York
North Dakota
Oregon
West Virginia.

[ElectionsGuy]

How did you determine Arlington as largest REP city in Texas? Based on precinct data as given by the Tarrant Election Office, which would have been quite cumbersome? Or did you have other sources (e.g. newspaper articles)?
Looking at county data alone, Forth Worth may have been the largest Texan city that voted Republican. Corpus Christi looks pretty much tied. Laredo went definitely Republican, as did Amarillo, Abilene, Midland and Odessa.

Yep, I used Dave's Redistricting App and within city lines, McCain won it, so Romney most definitely won it. Although Fort Worth lines are quite messy, what I can tell is that it went 53% Obama. Also the other cities you mentioned, don't you mean Laredo went definitely Democratic? Amarillo, Abilene, Midland and Odessa are all solidly republican as you said. Corpus Christi Leans Republican, but doesn't matter because it's not bigger than Arlington.

[ElectionsGuy]

As for the remaining states:

NY: As I said, probably Oyster Bay town. Only NYC, Hempstead, Brookhaven, and Islip are larger. NYC and Hempstead are solidly Democratic. Brookhaven and Islip both voted about 53% for Obama in 2008, and Suffolk County had only a very small swing toward Romney in 2012. Thus, it is very likely that both Brookhaven and Islip also voted for Obama in 2012, which leaves Oyster Bay town as the answer.

OR: Medford voted for McCain, and Jackson County swung toward Romney, so it almost definitely voted for Romney. As for larger cities, there are only 7: Portland, Salem, Eugene, Gresham, Hillsboro, Beaverton, and Bend. Portland, Eugene, Hillsboro, and Beaverton are all solidly Democratic. Gresham almost definitely voted for Obama in 2012 since it voted 58% for Obama in 2008 and Multnomah County had only a very small swing toward Romney. Salem voted 56% for Obama in 2008, and is getting more Hispanic - hardly a recipe for larger Republican vote shares. Bend also voted 56% for Obama, and Deschutes County swung only about 2% toward Romney, so it probably voted for Obama in 2012 as well. That leaves Medford as the very likely answer.

AL: Probably Hoover, but I don't have any solid evidence to back that up.

DE and WV: I have no clue.

Ok, Thank you. I'll put it up I just didn't know if you were confident or not.

[ElectionsGuy]

I should stop relying on Yahoo

Ah, the memories. Ten years ago Yahoo was actually relevant.

Connecticut - Greenwich is correct.
For my amusement: Romney shares in the ten largest municipalites of Connecticut:
Bridgeport 13.8%
New Haven 9.9%
Hartford 6.3%
Stamford 36.8%
Waterbury 34.3%
Norwalk 36.0%
Danbury 40.5%
New Britain 22.7%
Greenwich 55.2%
Bristol 41.0%

Oh my god, Hartford, New Haven, and Bridgeport I knew would be liberal but damn! Actually this doesn't surprise me. Mostly minorities in cities and mostly whites in rural areas.

[ElectionsGuy]

TN: The Knox. News Sentinel reported that Obama won Knoxville by 3,000 votes - though that only covered majority-city precincts.  The precinct boundaries are relatively close to the city boundaries, though there could be enough exceptions to put Romney over the top, but I do not have enough knowledge of Knox Co. to say for sure.  If I had to guess, I'd say Obama won Knoxville 800-1,000 votes.

The next candidate would be Clarksville.  Using DRA, the 2008 results are very very close, with a slight Obama win.  With a 2.4% swing for the county, its likely that Romney won Clarksville.

Are you serious? WOW, the rest of Knox must be Uber Republican. Romney won at least 63% in Knox right? I actually just checked on Dave's App and Obama won Knoxville 51-47 to McCain. While the rest of the county, which holds more population than the city, went 69-29 McCain while the county overall went 61-38. In 2012 the county went 64-34 and if the city was roughly tied, then the rest of the county voted around 74% Romney. Insane man, we really are in the biggest Urban-Rural divide we've ever been in.

[ElectionsGuy]

How did you determine Arlington as largest REP city in Texas? Based on precinct data as given by the Tarrant Election Office, which would have been quite cumbersome? Or did you have other sources (e.g. newspaper articles)?
Looking at county data alone, Forth Worth may have been the largest Texan city that voted Republican. Corpus Christi looks pretty much tied. Laredo went definitely Republican, as did Amarillo, Abilene, Midland and Odessa.

Yep, I used Dave's Redistricting App and within city lines, McCain won it, so Romney most definitely won it. Although Fort Worth lines are quite messy, what I can tell is that it went 53% Obama. Also the other cities you mentioned, don't you mean Laredo went definitely Democratic? Amarillo, Abilene, Midland and Odessa are all solidly republican as you said. Corpus Christi Leans Republican, but doesn't matter because it's not bigger than Arlington.

Well, If Fort Worth was 53% Obama, but Tarrant County 57% Romney, chances are pretty good that Arlington was won by Romney.

As to Laredo - it of course went Democratic. I meant Lubbock (don't know why I wrote Laredo instead, I seem to get old ..)

Oh yes, Lubbock is of course republican. And yes Arlington and everything else in Tarrant County Romney won, only Fort Worth was won by Obama .

[ElectionsGuy]

I'm pretty sure that for Kentucky it would be Florence. I'm almost certain Obama won Owensboro.

Hmmm.. A person a day or two ago told me that Romney did win Owensboro. For right now I'll leave it as a question.

[ElectionsGuy]

I'm pretty sure that for Kentucky it would be Florence. I'm almost certain Obama won Owensboro.

Hmmm.. A person a day or two ago told me that Romney did win Owensboro. For right now I'll leave it as a question.

I checked all the larger cities in Kentucky after the election, and I concluded it's just about impossible that Romney won Owensboro.

Obama won Covington, Newport, and the like, so I have no doubt at all he won Owensboro.

I just checked about Hopkinsville and McCain won it, and Romney did better in the county so he at least won it too. So that means Hopkinsville would be largest.

[ElectionsGuy]

I'm pretty sure that for Kentucky it would be Florence. I'm almost certain Obama won Owensboro.

Hmmm.. A person a day or two ago told me that Romney did win Owensboro. For right now I'll leave it as a question.

I checked all the larger cities in Kentucky after the election, and I concluded it's just about impossible that Romney won Owensboro.

Obama won Covington, Newport, and the like, so I have no doubt at all he won Owensboro.

I just checked about Hopkinsville and McCain won it, and Romney did better in the county so he at least won it too. So that means Hopkinsville would be largest.

I checked Hopkinsville after the election, and that was another city that I concluded Obama won. Remember, while rural areas swung Republican, urban areas swung Democratic. For instance, Franklin County (home of Frankfort) went McCain in '08 but Obama in '12.

Ok, so you're absolutely sure that the largest city Romney won was Florence?

[ElectionsGuy]

I'm pretty sure that for Kentucky it would be Florence. I'm almost certain Obama won Owensboro.

Hmmm.. A person a day or two ago told me that Romney did win Owensboro. For right now I'll leave it as a question.

I checked all the larger cities in Kentucky after the election, and I concluded it's just about impossible that Romney won Owensboro.

Obama won Covington, Newport, and the like, so I have no doubt at all he won Owensboro.

I just checked about Hopkinsville and McCain won it, and Romney did better in the county so he at least won it too. So that means Hopkinsville would be largest.

I checked Hopkinsville after the election, and that was another city that I concluded Obama won. Remember, while rural areas swung Republican, urban areas swung Democratic. For instance, Franklin County (home of Frankfort) went McCain in '08 but Obama in '12.

Ok, so you're absolutely sure that the largest city Romney won was Florence?

I'm not 100% sure, but I'm maybe 97% sure.

Since you seem pretty dedicated, I'll change it to Florence. Thank you for telling me.

[ElectionsGuy]

Still need for Confidence:

Delaware
Tennessee
West Virginia

[ElectionsGuy]

RI: Only two towns voted for Romney. Of the two, Scituate is larger.

Actually, there was a third town in R.I., East Greenwich, that Romney won. It's larger than both West Greenwich and Scituate.

Thanks for WV and RI

[ElectionsGuy]

Hawaii: Nothing?

Romney won two precincts in Hawaii, both in Honolulu County. One covers the northern tip of the island, the other is a small one in the middle of the island.

The one in the center appears to be coterminous with Wheeler Army Airfield, which is classified as a CDP by the US census. It has a population of approx. 1,600 people.

The other one contains three CDPs, the largest of which is Laie (pop. approx. 6,100). I'm pretty certain Romney won it, because this particular town is home to certain university: BYU Hawaii

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BYU_Hawaii

Also, McCain won a precinct in this same area in 2008. Therefore, I'm pretty certain that Laie is the largest place in Hawaii that Romney won.

Thanks