NJ-Monmouth: Booker @ 60+ in primary, leads Lonegan (R) by 16

[Tender Branson]

[The following questions were asked of those who are likely to vote in the October special election, n= 560, MoE = + 4.2%]

53-37 Booker/Lonegan

If the Democratic primary for Senate was today, would you vote for Frank Pallone, Rush
Holt, Cory Booker, or Sheila Oliver? [NAMES WERE ROTATED]

[The following question was asked of potential voters in the August Democratic primary, n=205, MoE = + 6.9%]

63% Booker
10% Holt
  8% Pallone
  6% Oliver

http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/84/159/2147483694/3dc2fa01-5d0f-4400-b766-d560177df60e.pdf

[Tender Branson]

The pollsters say that the Oct. and Nov. elections will see depressing turnout on the Democratic side (this is what they see in their data).

Therefore the (November) sample is:

39% DEM
31% REP
30% IND

The Oct. sample is probably even worse, considering Booker's much smaller lead compared with previous RV polls.

http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/84/159/2147483694/3dc2fa01-5d0f-4400-b766-d560177df60e.pdf

[Tender Branson]

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