2020

[PJ]

This is just speculation:

Democrat: Schweitzer, Hickenlooper, Gillibrand, or Cuomo

Republican: Christie, Rubio, Cruz, or Ryan

Extreme social conservative third party: Santorum

Libertarian: Rand Paul

Primary Predictions: Cuomo wins democratic primary, chooses Hickenlooper or Schweitzer as VP to secure a swing state, Rubio wins GOP primary, not sure of VP, possibly Portman to get swing state. Can't imagine Rubio getting along with Christie or Cruz, and I doubt Paul Ryan would run for VP twice.

General election: Close, Cuomo wins due to Clinton's popularity, assuming she stepped down so she can enjoy her life. Paul and Santorum each win 5% of the vote, and no states

[PJ]

The dems would almost certainly win MT with Schweitzer as VP

This is what I think:

Marco Rubio / Eric Cantor (Republican) - 283 EV
Kirsten Gillibrand / Brian Schweitzer (Democrat) - 255 EV

Rubio also narrowly wins the popular vote.

New Mexico is a blue state and is not coming back and both Nevada and Colorado are on their way to becoming blue states.

Also, Rubio is of Cuban origin and is not exactly beloved by the Hispanic community a lot of which are of Mexican origin.

The Democratic candidate probably won't carry Montana unless he/she already have well over 350 EV.

[PJ]

Your probably right, but given Scweitzer's popularity in Montana, it would at least be as close as 2008.

The dems would almost certainly win MT with Schweitzer as VP

This is what I think:

Marco Rubio / Eric Cantor (Republican) - 283 EV
Kirsten Gillibrand / Brian Schweitzer (Democrat) - 255 EV

Rubio also narrowly wins the popular vote.

New Mexico is a blue state and is not coming back and both Nevada and Colorado are on their way to becoming blue states.

Also, Rubio is of Cuban origin and is not exactly beloved by the Hispanic community a lot of which are of Mexican origin.

The Democratic candidate probably won't carry Montana unless he/she already have well over 350 EV.

I doubt it will swing that much unless Schweitzer is actually running for President not Vice President.

[PJ]

My map for 2020.

Andrew Cuomo D Governor of NY/Brian Schweitzer D Senator from MT
Marco Rubio R Senator from FL/Rob Portman R Seantor from OH
Rand Paul L Senator from KY/Gary Johnson L Governor of NM
Rick Santorum Defense of marriage party Representataive from PA/Other guy Defense of Marriage Party
States that vote R are in 30's, 40's, and 50's because of division between R's, L's, and DOM's

This is just speculation:

Democrat: Schweitzer, Hickenlooper, Gillibrand, or Cuomo

Republican: Christie, Rubio, Cruz, or Ryan

Extreme social conservative third party: Santorum

Libertarian: Rand Paul

Primary Predictions: Cuomo wins democratic primary, chooses Hickenlooper or Schweitzer as VP to secure a swing state, Rubio wins GOP primary, not sure of VP, possibly Portman to get swing state. Can't imagine Rubio getting along with Christie or Cruz, and I doubt Paul Ryan would run for VP twice.

General election: Close, Cuomo wins due to Clinton's popularity, assuming she stepped down so she can enjoy her life. Paul and Santorum each win 5% of the vote, and no states

[PJ]

I'm guessing they mean that either Rand Paul will lead a lot of Republicans to Libertarian Party, or the Rick Santorum types will go even farther to the right, leaving a Libertarian GOP. But the GOP needs to become somewhat socially moderate to survive, so there's little chance of that happening.

A third major party is in the works so I'm not going to prognosticate who's running yet.

Um what?