AR Congressional Races 2014
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Author Topic: AR Congressional Races 2014  (Read 73923 times)
RogueBeaver
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« Reply #600 on: May 28, 2014, 05:19:43 PM »
Pryor's cosponsoring Rubio's VA bill.

AFP is finally going back up, 6-digit buy.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #601 on: May 30, 2014, 01:21:00 PM »
Booker's holding a fundraiser for Pryor tomorrow in Little Rock.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #602 on: June 03, 2014, 07:09:51 AM »
Crossroads has a 1-week, $440k buy attacking Pryor. Their internal has Cotton up 46/41. Last time they polled was before Cotton formally declared, 10 months ago. 44/42 Cotton.
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windjammer
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« Reply #603 on: June 03, 2014, 07:27:29 AM »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on June 03, 2014, 07:09:51 AM
Crossroads has a 1-week, $440k buy attacking Pryor. Their internal has Cotton up 46/41. Last time they polled was before Cotton formally declared, 10 months ago. 44/42 Cotton.


Internal, obviously flawed.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #604 on: June 03, 2014, 09:28:39 AM »
Can only wait for TB/PPP on real polling.

Bubba has no plans to return, unless he thinks it'll make a difference.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #605 on: June 04, 2014, 03:15:44 AM »
LOL @ this ad:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xqHXks5Qjwc

How do you spell "Pryor" ?

"O-B-A-M-A"

Wink
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #606 on: June 06, 2014, 08:32:02 AM »
Senate Majority PAC reserves $1.8 million of fall airtime.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #607 on: June 06, 2014, 03:39:42 PM »
This is a bit off topic, but I'm sure somebody who knows Arkansas can answer this:

In 2008, Pryor ran unopposed. His only opponent was a Green Party candidate who was to the left of him, and they got about 20% of the vote. Did most of their vote come from liberals who were frustrated with Pryor, or from staunch right-wingers who would refuse to vote for any Democrat under any circumstances? I know it was likely a combination of both, but which was more prevalent?
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windjammer
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« Reply #608 on: June 08, 2014, 12:06:04 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on June 06, 2014, 03:39:42 PM
This is a bit off topic, but I'm sure somebody who knows Arkansas can answer this:

In 2008, Pryor ran unopposed. His only opponent was a Green Party candidate who was to the left of him, and they got about 20% of the vote. Did most of their vote come from liberals who were frustrated with Pryor, or from staunch right-wingers who would refuse to vote for any Democrat under any circumstances? I know it was likely a combination of both, but which was more prevalent?
Probably from liberals. Pryor was seen as pro life, etc. I don't see a single Republican voter voting for a Green. He would probably have not voted.


-------------
http://blogs.rollcall.com/hawkings/obama-arkansas-tornado-visit-mark-pryor-political-boost/

Interesting, but not sure that's a good idea.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #609 on: June 09, 2014, 12:17:31 PM »
Boozman is definitely running for reelection.
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windjammer
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« Reply #610 on: June 09, 2014, 12:19:17 PM »
The Bouteflika from Arkansas? Wink
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
Joshua
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« Reply #611 on: June 09, 2014, 03:00:00 PM »

Beebe is already 67, I can see a challenge to Boozeman by him at less than a 50% chance of happening. If Beebe doesn't run, who else would?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #612 on: June 09, 2014, 03:06:34 PM »
No idea. Maybe Jerry knows?

Rothenberg: Pryor's still the most vulnerable senator.
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
Joshua
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« Reply #613 on: June 09, 2014, 03:13:28 PM »
« Edited: June 09, 2014, 03:17:47 PM by Joshua »

How the hell is John Walsh not considered the most vulnerable senator??

[Edit]: He also called Blank-Stare Lincoln "personable..."
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #614 on: June 09, 2014, 03:39:44 PM »
« Edited: June 09, 2014, 03:44:26 PM by OC »
I see Pryor coming out of it. Hagen is slipping to Tillis. Landrieu is needed should IA come down to wire. And AK should be close in our favor.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #615 on: June 09, 2014, 04:47:37 PM »
Quote from: Joshua on June 09, 2014, 03:13:28 PM

How the hell is John Walsh not considered the most vulnerable senator??

[Edit]: He also called Blank-Stare Lincoln "personable..."

Maybe John Walsh isn't really considered an incumbent, because he hasn't been elected to his seat?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #616 on: June 09, 2014, 04:51:05 PM »
Quote from: IDS Legislator Maxwell on June 09, 2014, 04:47:37 PM
Quote from: Joshua on June 09, 2014, 03:13:28 PM

How the hell is John Walsh not considered the most vulnerable senator??

[Edit]: He also called Blank-Stare Lincoln "personable..."

Maybe John Walsh isn't really considered an incumbent, because he hasn't been elected to his seat?

Yep. Silver says appointments are considered open seats for handicapping purposes.
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Morning in Atlas
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« Reply #617 on: June 21, 2014, 08:28:55 PM »
Bad week for Cotton.

His campaign leaked an internal memo of him leading by 7... and if you look closely you'll see that the toplines go back to February 2013 - a month before he got his current job as a Congressman. And now, he's skipped the tomato festival, which is Arkansas's equivalent of the start of the political season, to attend a fundraiser with the Koch brothers. For those of you who aren't familiar, it's like if Mitch McConnell or Rand Paul decided to skip out on Fancy Farm.

I'd like to officially apologize to Mark Pryor for calling Cotton entitled. He's absolutely goddamn right.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #618 on: June 21, 2014, 09:18:56 PM »
Cotton was first approached by friends in 2010 about Lincoln's seat (there's an early straw poll with "Tom Cox" on it) but decided to wait and run for the House first. There were reports he was talking to the NRSC in July 2012 - the subject was explicitly raised in GE debates but he brushed them aside. In December 2012 he, Griffin and Womack all told the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette they were considering it. Then he left the door wide open while dropping numerous hints for months. All of this was reported in local and national outlets. Plus Bubba and Fulbright also hopscotched.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #619 on: June 30, 2014, 09:56:59 AM »
Jindal will host a fundraiser for Cotton in Fort Smith tonight. Wonder when the Clintons will be back for Pryor.
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windjammer
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« Reply #620 on: July 01, 2014, 02:55:54 PM »
Not sure this is a good idea to be supported by Jindal Tongue
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #621 on: July 01, 2014, 03:02:55 PM »
NFIB also endorsed Cotton today.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #622 on: July 02, 2014, 02:10:06 PM »
Cotton took a dumb swipe at Pryor while addressing Hobby Lobby. Ironically the written statement is what he should've said... apologize and move on.
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Miles
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« Reply #623 on: July 02, 2014, 08:20:28 PM »
They said they Hobby Lobby verdit would help Democrats, but I wasn't expecting it to be in this race Cheesy
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windjammer
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« Reply #624 on: July 03, 2014, 09:05:06 AM »
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2014/07/03/joe_miller_remains_wild_card_in_alaska_senate_race_123196.html
Lol
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