Clinton wasn't a convert, like in my scenario.
BRTD, when you say evangelical, what kind do you mean? Are they a Clinton style evangelical or more of a religious left candidate?
Think a pretty standard Democrat that just happens to be an evangelical. Closer to religious left then I guess.
Ok, if that's the case, you'd see slightly different coalitions. Generic GOP would probably win NH, maybe CO as he does better with Soccer moms, while Evangelical Dem does better in southern states, probably winning NC, keeping Virginia etc.