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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderators: Torie, ON Progressive)
  ocean county nj swing
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a83192
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« on: March 04, 2013, 02:49:34 pm »

Did Ocean County NJ swing to Obama because of low turnout due to the storm or because of whites warming to him because of his dealing of the storm?
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #1 on: March 04, 2013, 03:03:52 pm »

The latter.
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memphis
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« Reply #2 on: March 04, 2013, 03:25:18 pm »

I would also suspect that the people with the most damaged property were the richers who live right on the shore. They would be the most Republican group and the least likely to turnout.
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Siloch
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« Reply #3 on: March 04, 2013, 03:44:30 pm »

2008
Rep - 160,677 (58.43%)
Dem - 110,189 (40.07%)

2012
Rep - 146,474 (58.16%)
Dem - 102,300 (40.62%)

There really wasn't that much of a change, it looks like Sandy made very little difference at all. Voter turnout fell from 2008 (which happened in nearly every state that was not a swing state).
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nclib
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« Reply #4 on: March 04, 2013, 08:40:23 pm »

Ocean NJ is also a 9/11 county, having a huge GOP swing in 2004.
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