CountryClassSF
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,530
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« on: February 09, 2013, 07:06:44 PM » |
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I'm not sure I buy into Orange County going Democrat.
While Obama did fairly well, it still swung Republican overall from 2008.
I understand that Obama has vastly overperformed amongst other Democrats there with the turnout operation that he had, but if we so much as go back to the midterms, Orange County swung back to the norm in the 2010 midterms.
Whitman 56.81%
Brown 37.35%
Fiorina 57.63%
Boxer 37.08%
Obviously, Republicans not in the high 60s-low 70s margins that they were in the 80s, but I would still say that the "Obama turnout/excitement based on demographics" factor brought out low-propensity voters that don't normally vote.
Just as a side note, Riverside County and San Diego County swung Republican from 2008, but in the midterms just as double-digit victories for Whitman and Fiorina...
It will be interesting to see what occurs if Jerry Brown runs again and has at least a second-tier opponent -- how these counties do, and of course, the next Presidential
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