AK-Harper Polling (R): Begich holds comfortable leads (except against Parnell)

[Obamanation]

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Sorry, I can't post links yet...(per the Hill via politicalwire)

[RogueBeaver]

Never heard of this firm. Though like the MA-Gov scenarios I imagine a lot of this is the name ID gap.

[Niemeyerite]

I hope this is true.

[Holmes]

Never heard of this firm. Though like the MA-Gov scenarios I imagine a lot of this is the name ID gap.

They're new, and want to become the "Republican PPP".

[Maxwell]

I hope this is true.

Me too, Begich is a favorite of mine. It seems decently safe unless Parnell busts through the door.

Also, does it say anything about the primary numbers? Cause I think Miller, in spite of not being able to win, probably leads in the primaries right now.

[morgieb]

I hope this is true.

Me too, Begich is a favorite of mine. It seems decently safe unless Parnell busts through the door.

Also, does it say anything about the primary numbers? Cause I think Miller, in spite of not being able to win, probably leads in the primaries right now.

Primary numbers say Parnell, Palin, Treadwell, Miller.

Yeah I have doubts over Begich. As others say this lead smells of name recognition apart from Miller. I hope he does win though.

[Maxwell]

I hope this is true.

Me too, Begich is a favorite of mine. It seems decently safe unless Parnell busts through the door.

Also, does it say anything about the primary numbers? Cause I think Miller, in spite of not being able to win, probably leads in the primaries right now.

Primary numbers say Parnell, Palin, Treadwell, Miller.

Yeah I have doubts over Begich. As others say this lead smells of name recognition apart from Miller. I hope he does win though.

I just saw the full numbers, I think, since Palin doesn't want to run and Parnell probably won't, those votes will be split very evenly between Treadwell and Miller, and from there, Miller could pull an upset.

[Vosem]

From the primary poll, looks very close between Treadwell and Miller, perhaps small advantage Treadwell. But too small for my liking.

Begich looks like he would smash Miller, but that considering how far he is from 50, Treadwell should be able to make the race competitive. The primary seems important, though; Miller can't win, but Treadwell can. (If Parnell runs, it seems, he will win.)

[Mad Deadly Worldwide Communist Gangster Computer God]

From the primary poll, looks very close between Treadwell and Miller, perhaps small advantage Treadwell. But too small for my liking.

Begich looks like he would smash Miller, but that considering how far he is from 50, Treadwell should be able to make the race competitive. The primary seems important, though; Miller can't win, but Treadwell can. (If Parnell runs, it seems, he will win.)

A six-point lead under 50% in a poll taken almost two years before an election doesn't guarantee anything.

[RogueBeaver]

These guys use decimals. Need more be said?

[Vosem]

From the primary poll, looks very close between Treadwell and Miller, perhaps small advantage Treadwell. But too small for my liking.

Begich looks like he would smash Miller, but that considering how far he is from 50, Treadwell should be able to make the race competitive. The primary seems important, though; Miller can't win, but Treadwell can. (If Parnell runs, it seems, he will win.)

A six-point lead under 50% in a poll taken almost two years before an election doesn't guarantee anything.

If Parnell runs, he instantly becomes very, very favored. Happy?

You're right, though.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Haha, Miller. Alaska is a fascinating state politically in how nonpartisan it is, and how many swing voters there are. If it were worth the time electorally, it would be a top Democratic target in the future.

[Maxwell]

These guys use decimals. Need more be said?

Just because its decimals does not mean its Zogby

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

These guys use decimals. Need more be said?

Just because its decimals does not mean its Zogby

Decimals are bad because they show a precision where there is naturally a lack of precision. That is to say: It's a sign that these people may not know how to poll.

[Mr.Phips]

Haha, Miller. Alaska is a fascinating state politically in how nonpartisan it is, and how many swing voters there are. If it were worth the time electorally, it would be a top Democratic target in the future.

I was actually going to write about how Alaska is probably the least partisan state in the country.  Something like 60% of its voters are independent.  It just seems to really like incumbents and dislike Presidential Dems because of the oil drilling issue.  They love their annual dividend.