TX-PPP: Sen. John Cornyn (R) favored for now

[Tender Branson]

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator John Cornyn's job performance?

Approve ................. .34%
Disapprove............. .36%

...

John Cornyn ................................................... 45%
Bill White......................................................... 42%

John Cornyn ................................................... 48%
Julian Castro................................................... 41%

John Cornyn ................................................... 48%
Wendy Davis................................................... 37%

John Cornyn ................................................... 47%
Annise Parker ................................................. 36%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_TX_130.pdf

[Obamanation]

PPP practically LOLed on their Twitter feed about a primary challenge to Cornyn. I mean who would think he isn't insane enough? The guy was one of only 3 senators to vote against John Kerry...along with Ted Cruz and Jim Inhofe...

Primarying Cornyn would be the equivalent of primarying Inhofe....insane...

Anyway, this race is safe GOP as are all other statewide races in Texas.

[Maxwell]

Honestly, Cornyn probably did that vote to up his conservative ante in case there would be a primary. He's really conservative, but I don't think he's in the 10 most conservative Republican Senators right now.

Bill White should go for the Governorship again, but honestly, I think a lot of Texans poll democratic for the first couple of months and then pull back when they realize they're democrats, kind of like New Jersey with Republicans.

or maybe they really are sick of their officials, who knows?

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Texas polls, especially this early on, are often artificially close thanks to a high Democratic floor and a ceiling just above it. If a poll looks like:

Republican: 48%
Democrat: 43%,

you can pretty well bet that the actual election result will be something like 55-44.