ME-PPP: If Collins (R) runs again -> Safe Collins, otherwise -> Safe Dem

[Tender Branson]

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Susan Collins' job performance?

Approve .......................................................... 63%
Disapprove...................................................... 24%

...

Susan Collins.................................................. 54%
Mike Michaud.................................................. 36%

Susan Collins.................................................. 58%
Chellie Pingree ............................................... 33%

...

Charlie Summers ............................................ 32%
Mike Michaud.................................................. 57%

Charlie Summers ............................................ 39%
Chellie Pingree ............................................... 50%

...

PPP surveyed 1,268 Maine voters and 430 Republican primary voters from January 18th
to 20th. The margin of error for the overall sample is +/-2.8% and +/-4.7% for the
Republican portion. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political
organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_ME_012413.pdf

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

Sue enjoys her position as chief moderate hero too greatly to retire.

[Miles]

Sounds about right.

[You kip if you want to...]

Any primary challengers or strong independents on the horizon?

[Miles]

Any primary challengers or strong independents on the horizon?

Collins is only leading a "more conservative Republican" 49-46 in the primary, but I don't know if any willing candidate like that actually exists.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Here's to Collins running again!

[Maxwell]

Any primary challengers or strong independents on the horizon?

Collins is only leading a "more conservative Republican" 49-46 in the primary, but I don't know if any willing candidate like that actually exists.

That's a generic "more conservative Republican", all of the conservative Republicans in Maine are ones that obviously wouldn't get close to that number.

[Talleyrand]

I'm surprised Michaud is doing as well as he is; I had expected him to trail by about the same margin as Pingree. Any explanation for his huge popularity within the state?

[Napoleon]

I'm surprised Michaud is doing as well as he is; I had expected him to trail by about the same margin as Pingree. Any explanation for his huge popularity within the state?

Moderate heroism.

[Talleyrand]

I'm surprised Michaud is doing as well as he is; I had expected him to trail by about the same margin as Pingree. Any explanation for his huge popularity within the state?

Moderate heroism.

I wish Landrieu in Louisiana had approvals like these. How does moderate heroism work in Maine but not there?

[Miles]

I'm surprised Michaud is doing as well as he is; I had expected him to trail by about the same margin as Pingree. Any explanation for his huge popularity within the state?

Moderate heroism.

I wish Landrieu in Louisiana had approvals like these. How does moderate heroism work in Maine but not there?

There isn't the dimension of racial polarization in Maine.

[Talleyrand]

I'm surprised Michaud is doing as well as he is; I had expected him to trail by about the same margin as Pingree. Any explanation for his huge popularity within the state?

Moderate heroism.

I wish Landrieu in Louisiana had approvals like these. How does moderate heroism work in Maine but not there?

There isn't the dimension of racial polarization in Maine.

It saddens me that that's still an issue out in the South to this day. I assume Landrieu's in the 80s or 90s with Blacks, while probably in the 20s or 30s with Whites? I thought her most recent approval was around 57%, which struck me as surprisingly high.

[Miles]

It saddens me that that's still an issue out in the South to this day. I assume Landrieu's in the 80s or 90s with Blacks, while probably in the 20s or 30s with Whites? I thought her most recent approval was around 57%, which struck me as surprisingly high.

In 2008, she won virtually all of the black vote but lost whites 65/33.

Actually, the latest report, from Southern Media & Opinion Research fall 2012, pegs her approval at 62/28, making her the most popular statewide official. If you dig deeper into the crosstabs, her approval with whites is 54/35. The question is how many of these whites will actually stick with her.

Overall, I think this particular survey is a bit optimistic, as Obama's approval seems high at 44/53, but its encouraging nonetheless.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Susan heik trell phenomenaton. John Breaux was the pragmatist. Always looking toward the middle even with dubuya. With terrell in the race daschle was majority leader and was obstructing. Landrieu was the liberl and most likekly to lose.