2012 Pres statistical oddities (user search)
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  2012 Pres statistical oddities (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2012 Pres statistical oddities  (Read 5310 times)
timothyinMD
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Posts: 438


« on: December 23, 2012, 03:05:15 PM »
« edited: January 14, 2013, 05:31:37 PM by timothyinMD »

Found this by accident.  Going out on a limb that it's the smallest swing of any county

Dodge County, GA  0.0000692% swing Republican
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timothyinMD
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Posts: 438


« Reply #1 on: December 26, 2012, 01:22:39 PM »
« Edited: December 26, 2012, 01:31:22 PM by timothyinMD »

Strongest Republican swings among the counties

I count 62 that swung 20.00% or more Republican

Illinois (14) Gallatin, White, Lawrence, Edgar, Clark, Jasper, Wabash, Wayne, Edwards, Calhoun, Jersey, Clay, Clinton, Saline
Indiana (6) Dubois, Knox, Clay, Vermillion, Rush, Putnam
Kentucky (15) Knott, Pike, Magoffin, Floyd, Union, Perry, Breathitt, Morgan, Letcher, Wolfe, Elliot, Webster, Muhlenberg, Menifee, McLean
North Dakota (1) Stark
Pennsylvania (1) Elk
Texas (1) McMullen
Utah (8 ) Carbon, Cache, Wasatch, Juab, Daggett, Sanpete, Tooele, Salt Lake
Virginia (6) Buchanan, Dickenson, Tazewell, Russell, Wise, City of Norton
West Virginia (9) Boone, McDowell, Webster, Nicholas, Mingo, Wyoming, Logan, Clay, Lincoln
Wisconsin (1) Waupaca

Top ten were
Boone WV 42.21
Knott KY 39.73
McDowell WV 38.42
Pike KY 36.71
Webster WV 33.13
Magoffin KY 32.84
Floyd KY 32.57
Nicholas WV 32.04
Gallatin IL 31.05
Mingo WV 30.56

Only one county swung 20.00% or more Democratic so I bumped the threshold down to 10.00%  Still that only yielded 5

Saint Bernard, LA 20.77
Clark, ID 12.74
Reeves, TX 11.00
Webb, TX  10.57
Saint John the Baptist, LA  10.10


Notable takeaways:

Most of the Republican ones are coal counties
Salt Lake stands out as it's by far the most populous of them all

St Bernard is quite an outlier
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timothyinMD
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Posts: 438


« Reply #2 on: December 26, 2012, 01:50:33 PM »

Looking at all counties that swung 10.00% or more the total was 691 R to 5 D

The 5 D I referenced in my last post.  Without naming them the R's are
Missouri 77
Illinois 73
Indiana 70
Texas 53
Kentucky, West Virginia 41
North Dakota 38
Montana 35
South Dakota 34
Michigan 31
Wisconsin 28
Utah 27
Nebraska 19
Pennsylvania 17
Tennessee 14
Iowa, Kansas 13
Virginia 11
Minnesota, Nevada 8
Arkansas, Ohio, Wyoming 7
Idaho 6
Colorado 5
Georgia 2
Louisiana, Maryland, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Washington 1
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timothyinMD
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Posts: 438


« Reply #3 on: December 26, 2012, 01:59:21 PM »

Counties where Obama earned the same vote total in 08 and 12
Carlton, GA
Harding, NM
King William, VA

Counties where McCain/Romney earned the same vote total in 08 and 12

Henderson, IL
Bullock, GA
Norton, KS
Owsley, KY
Valley, NE
Dawson, NE


AND!  Salem NJ was a tie between Romney-Obama.  First since Pend Oreille, WA in 1988
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