2012 Pres statistical oddities (user search)
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  2012 Pres statistical oddities (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2012 Pres statistical oddities  (Read 5316 times)
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
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« on: December 26, 2012, 12:07:22 PM »
Quote from: Vosem on December 26, 2012, 11:53:19 AM
https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/statesub.php?year=2012&fips=13031&f=0&off=0&elect=0

Bulloch County wasn't an exact tie -- Romney won 59-40 (or, by votes, 14174-9593). I have no idea where you're getting the exact tie from.

Read what he wrote again.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #1 on: December 26, 2012, 01:30:26 PM »
Without doing any reasearch, I'd guess at least  50 of those counties engange in coal mining.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #2 on: December 27, 2012, 12:52:02 PM »
« Edited: December 27, 2012, 01:03:10 PM by dingojoe »
After doing some research, the only counties without some kind of obvious connection to coal that swung 20 were:

Calhoun, IL
Rush,IN
Stark,ND
McMullen, TX
Waupaca, WI

All 8 in Utah except Carbon.  Obviously Utah had a rally around the Morm effect.

So, excluding coal and Mormonism, 5 counties swung 20% or more.
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DINGO Joe
dingojoe
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« Reply #3 on: January 15, 2013, 01:13:06 PM »
Quote from: Oldiesfreak1854 on January 14, 2013, 10:24:49 PM
Arenac County, MI voted for Romney, making him the first Republican presidential candidate since 1988 (I believe) to carry that couny.  And yet he still lost Michigan.

Well, there goes the whole "As Arenac votes, so votes Michigan theory"

Actually Dukakis won Arenac in 1988.

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DINGO Joe
dingojoe
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« Reply #4 on: January 18, 2013, 11:36:23 AM »
BTW, the Waupauca, WI vote total was an error, the corrected total resulted in a swing of about 12 pts.
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