Census population estimates 2011-2019

[Cokeland Saxton]

If nobody has posted the 2017 estimates yet, I got u fam.

DC - 601,723 --> 693,972; +15.33%
1. TX - 25,145,561 --> 28,304,596; +12.56%
2. ND - 672,591 --> 755,393; +12.31%
3. UT - 2,763,885 --> 3,101,833; +12.23%
4. FL - 18,801,310 -->20,984,400; +11.61%
5. CO - 5,029,196 --> 5,607,154; +11.49%
6. NV - 2,700,551 --> 2,998,039; +11.02%
7. WA - 6,724,540 --> 7,405,743; +10.13%
8. AZ - 6,392,017 --> 7,016,270; +9.77%
9. ID   - 1,567,582 --> 1,716,943; +9.53%
10. SC - 4,625,364 --> 5,024,369; +8.63%
11. OR - 3,831,074 --> 4,142,776; +8.14%
12. NC - 9,535,483 --> 10,273,419; +7.74%
13. GA - 9,687,653 --> 10,429,379; +7.66%
14. DE - 897,934 --> 961,939; +7.13%
15. SD - 814,180 --> 869,666; +6.81%
16. MT - 989,415 --> 1,050,493; +6.17%
17. CA - 37,253,956 --> 39,536,653; +6.13%
18. VA - 8,001,024 --> 8,470,020; +5.86%
19. TN - 6,346,105 --> 6,715,984; +5.83%
50 States + DC - 308,745,538 --> 325,719,178; +5.50%
20. MN - 5,303,925 --> 5,576,606; +5.14%
21. NE - 1,826,341 --> 1,920,076; +5.13%
22. HI - 1,360,301 --> 1,427,538; +4.94%
23. MD - 5,773,552 --> 6,052,177; +4.83%
24. OK - 3,751,351 --> 3,930,864; +4.79%
25. MA - 6,547,629 --> 6,859,819; +4.77%
26. AK - 710,231 --> 739,795; +4.16%
27. LA - 4,533,372 --> 4,684,333; +3.33%
28. IA - 3,046,355 --> 3,145,711; +3.26%
29. AR - 2,915,918 --> 3,004,279; +3.03%
30. IN - 6,483,802 --> 6,666,818; +2.82%
31. WY - 563,626 --> 579,315; +2.78%
32. KY - 4,339,367 --> 4,454,189; +2.65%
33. NY - 19,378,102 -> 19,849,399; +2.43%
34. NJ - 8,791,894 --> 9,005,644; +2.43%
35. KS - 2,853,118 --> 2,913,123; +2.10%
36. MO - 5,988,927 --> 6,113,532; +2.08%
37. NH - 1,316,470 --> 1,342,795; +2.00%
38. AL - 4,779,736 --> 4,874,747; +1.99%
39. WI - 5,686,986 --> 5,795,483; +1.91%
40. NM - 2,059,179 --> 2,088,070; +1.40%
41. OH - 11,536,504 --> 11,658,609; +1.06%
42. PA - 12,702,379 --> 12,805,537; +0.81%
43. MI - 9,883,640 --> 9,962,311; +0.80%
44. RI - 1,052,567 --> 1,059,639; +0.67%
45. ME - 1,328,361 --> 1,335,907; +0.57%
46. MS - 2,967,297 --> 2,984,100; +0.57%
47. CT - 3,574,097 --> 3,588,184; +0.39%
48. IL - 12,830,632 --> 12,802,023; −0.22%
49. VT - 625,741 --> 623,657; −0.33%
50. WV - 1,852,994 --> 1,815,857; −2.00%

[Cokeland Saxton]

I just did the 50 states, DC, and the US as a whole. But here's Puerto Rico and the rest of the territories:

Guam - 159,358 --> 162,742; +2.12%
American Samoa - 55,519 --> 54,194; -2.39%
Northern Mariana Islands - 53,833 --> 52,263; -2.92%
US Virgin Islands - 106,405 --> 102,951; -3.25%
Puerto Rico - 3,725,789 --> 3,337,177; -10.43%

RIP Puerto Rico

[Cokeland Saxton]

That is exactly why I said RIP

[Cokeland Saxton]

county level estimates from 2017 will be out in a couple weeks. What should we expect to see?

[Cokeland Saxton]

the +500k was like because Florida's population was higher in 2016 than in 2012

[Cokeland Saxton]

This is probably the most likely scenario:

[Cokeland Saxton]

The districts in Miami Metro, FL will likely be squished even smaller too, if the state gains two seats. The Miami metro is growing substantially, as is the Orlando metro. Hillsborough County (part of Tampa metro) too.

[Cokeland Saxton]

Charlotte, NC will probably pass Indianapolis next year:

Charlotte: 731,424 (census)/735,688 (est. base 2010) --> 842,051 (2016) --> 859,035 (2017)
Indianapolis: 820,445 (census)/820,443 (est. base 2010) --> 855,164 (2016) -->863,002 (2017)

Charlotte gained 16,984 (+2.02%) last year vs. Indianapolis's gain of just 7,838 (+0.92%).

Although we can't predict what will happen exactly, if both cities maintain their 16-17 growth rate:

Charlotte 2018: 876,662
Indianapolis 2018: 870,911

So unless something crazy happens, Indianapolis will most likely drop to #17 in for 2018.

On a different note, my hometown of Elkhart, IN (52,558 in 2017) started growing again after getting screwed by a housing shortage.

Also, Austin, TX's growth slowed dramatically, wow.

Other random facts that occurred last year:

Chicago gained about 12k
The unthinkable happened: Detroit grew
Salt Lake city Joined the 200k club
Denver hit 700k
Cincinnati is back over 300k
Akron grew

That's enough for now.

[Cokeland Saxton]

In a few years Columbus will be bigger than SF

Maybe as soon as the next census. The gap has closed by about half since last year.

[Cokeland Saxton]

When do you think San Antonio will replace Philadelphia as the sixth largest city? It has to be within months.

It might actually be a few years. There is about a 69k gap between Philly and SA in 2017 vs. a 75.4k gap in 2016 and a 198.6k gap in the 2010 census.

[Cokeland Saxton]

The release date is not yet in stone, but the national and state-level projections for 2018 will be out in a couple months. What do you guys think the US population will be?

My guess is 327,999,212

[Cokeland Saxton]

My predictions:

California will hit 40 million (only a few hundred k away)

Nevada will hit 3 million (already right there) and pass Arkansas to become the 32nd most populous state.

Utah will pass Iowa to become the 30th most populous state

Montana will pass Rhode Island to become the 43rd most populous state

[Cokeland Saxton]

The estimates are out today!

The fastest growing states this year are, according to the Census Bureau:

By percent:

1. Nevada - up 2.1% to 3,034,392
2. Idaho - up 2.1% to 1,754,208
3. Utah - up 1.9% to 3,161,105
4. Arizona - up 1.7% to 7,171,646
5. Florida - up 1.5% to 21,299,325
6. Washington - up 1.5% to 7,535,591
7. Colorado - up 1.4% to 5,695,564
8. Texas - up 1.3% to 28,701,845
9. South Carolina - up 1.3% to 5,084,127
10. North Carolina - up 1.1% to 10,383,260

Numeric:

1. Texas - up 379,128 to 28,701,845
2. Florida - up 322,513 to 21,299,325
3. California - up 157,696 to 39,557,045
4. Arizona   - up 122,770 to 7,171,646
5. North Carolina - up 112,820 to 10,383,620
6. Washington - up 110,159 to 7,535,591
7. Georgia - up 106,420 to 10,519,475
8. Colorado - up 79,662 to 5,695,564
9. South Carolina - up 62,908 to 5,084,127
10. Nevada - up 61,987 to 3,034,392

[Cokeland Saxton]

The estimates are out today!

The fastest growing states this year are, according to the Census Bureau:

By percent:

1. Nevada - up 2.1% to 3,034,392
2. Idaho - up 2.1% to 1,754,208
3. Utah - up 1.9% to 3,161,105
4. Arizona - up 1.7% to 7,171,646
5. Florida - up 1.5% to 21,299,325
6. Washington - up 1.5% to 7,535,591
7. Colorado - up 1.4% to 5,695,564
8. Texas - up 1.3% to 28,701,845
9. South Carolina - up 1.3% to 5,084,127
10. North Carolina - up 1.1% to 10,383,260

Numeric:

1. Texas - up 379,128 to 28,701,845
2. Florida - up 322,513 to 21,299,325
3. California - up 157,696 to 39,557,045
4. Arizona   - up 122,770 to 7,171,646
5. North Carolina - up 112,820 to 10,383,620
6. Washington - up 110,159 to 7,535,591
7. Georgia - up 106,420 to 10,519,475
8. Colorado - up 79,662 to 5,695,564
9. South Carolina - up 62,908 to 5,084,127
10. Nevada - up 61,987 to 3,034,392

Also please note that in some of these cases, the 2017 was changed significantly, as is the case with California, whose 2018 estimate is up only 20k over the original 2017 estimate.

[Cokeland Saxton]

Much of that was from Hurricane Maria

[Cokeland Saxton]

Imagine how physically tiny NV-01 is going to be in the next set of maps.

Is Las Vegas getting more densely populated?

Clark County is the fastest-growing county in Nevada since 2010, and with 2.2 million people, contains nearly 3/4 of the state's population, and that percentage continues to increase.

[Cokeland Saxton]

Yes, New Jersey's was adjusted down, just like New York's was adjusted down by like a quarter million.

[Cokeland Saxton]

I heard something recently that the states of Virginia and Tennessee were shown by some form of new data to have a surprisingly large population drop, and then both states were now on track to lose a Congressional District each in 2020. Only 1 detail I am forgetting: was it a strange dream or was it something real? Can someone please tell me.

Virginia and Tennessee are both growing a little above the national average. The last time Tennessee lost a seat was in 1970, only to gain it back in 1980.

[Cokeland Saxton]

Hamilton County had the highest numerical gain in Indiana (not surprised)

And RIP Illinois, New Jersey, and New York

[Cokeland Saxton]

Hamilton County had the highest numerical gain in Indiana (not surprised)

And RIP Illinois, New Jersey, and New York

New Jersey grew last year.

It's lower than the original 2017 estimate. Please do not correct me.

[Cokeland Saxton]

Hamilton County had the highest numerical gain in Indiana (not surprised)

And RIP Illinois, New Jersey, and New York

I hate being corrected. I don't care if he's right.

New Jersey grew last year.

It's lower than the original 2017 estimate. Please do not correct me.

NJ's population got revised down, but it has yet to suffer negative population growth. So @Nyvin is right to correct you.

Edit:

The official numbers for NJ in the last 3 years are:

2016: 8,874,516
2017: 8,888,543
2018: 8,908,520

https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time-series/demo/popest/2010s-national-total.html#par_textimage_2011805803

[Cokeland Saxton]

The slow growth in the Houston metro, and the Gulf coast of TX could also be connected to Harvey, such as with Aransas County having pretty much all its 2010 - 2017 growth undone.

The growth rebounding in the Permian Basin, such as Ector and Midland, are likely connected with a recovery in oil prices there.

[Cokeland Saxton]

Probably in a few weeks

[Cokeland Saxton]

What does it say about Louisiana?

Why is Louisiana suffering?

Poverty, poor quality of life, New Orleans being prone to bad weather, a sluggish economy, and a homicide rate ranking in the top 10 of the 50 states

[Cokeland Saxton]

150 largest cities as of 2018:

1. New York, NY (8,398,748)
2. Los Angeles, CA (3,990,456)
3. Chicago, IL (2,705,994)
4. Houston, TX (2,325,502)
5. Phoenix, AZ (1,660,272)
6. Philadelphia, PA (1,584,138)
7. San Antonio, TX (1,532,233)
8. San Diego, CA (1,425,976)
9. Dallas, TX (1,345,047)
10. San Jose, CA (1,030,149)
11. Austin, TX  (964,254)
12. Jacksonville, FL (903,889)
13. Fort Worth, TX (895,008)
14. Columbus, OH (892,533)
15. San Francisco, CA (883,305)
16. Charlotte, NC (872,498)
17. Indianapolis, IN (867,125)
18. Seattle, WA (744,955)
19. Denver, CO (716,492)
20. Washington, DC (702,455)
21. Boston, MA (694,583)
22. El Paso, TX (682,669)
23. Detroit, MI (672,662)
24. Nashville, TN (669,053)
25. Portland, OR (653,115)
26. Memphis, TN (650,618)
27. Oklahoma City, OK (649,021)
28. Las Vegas, NV (644,644)
29. Louisville, KY (620,118)
30. Baltimore, MD (602,495)
31. Milwaukee, WI (592,025)
32. Albuquerque, NM (560,218)
33. Tucson, AZ (545,975)
34. Fresno, CA (530,093)
35. Mesa, AZ (508,958)
36. Sacramento, CA (508,529)
37. Atlanta, GA (498,044)
38. Kansas City, MO (491,918)
39. Colorado Springs, CO (472,688)
40. Miami, FL (470,914)
41. Raleigh, NC (469,298)
42. Omaha, NE (468,262)
43. Long Beach, CA (467,354)
44. Virginia Beach, VA (450,189)
45. Oakland, CA (429,082)
46. Minneapolis, MN (425,403)
47. Tulsa, OK (400,669)
48. Arlington, TX (398,112)
49. Tampa, FL (392,890)
50. New Orleans, LA (391,006)
51. Wichita, KS (389,255)
52. Cleveland, OH (383,793)
53. Bakersfield, CA (383,579)
54. Aurora, CO (374,114)
55. Anaheim, CA (352,005)
56. Honolulu, HI (347,397)
57. Santa Ana, CA (332,725)
58. Riverside, CA (330,063)
59. Corpus Christi, TX (326,554)
60. Lexington, KY (323,780)
61. Stockton, CA (311,178)
62. Henderson, NV (310,390)
63. St. Paul, MN (307,695)
64. St. Louis, MO (302,838)
65. Cincinnati, OH (302,605)
66. Pittsburgh, PA (301,048)
67. Greensboro, NC (294,722)
68. Anchorage, AK (291,538)
69. Plano, TX (288,061)
70. Lincoln, NE (287,401)
71. Orlando, FL (285,713)
72. Irvine (282,572)
73. Newark, NJ (282,090)
74. Toledo, OH (274,975)
75. Durham, NC (274,291)
76. Chula Vista, CA (271,651)
77. Fort Wayne, IN (267,633)
78. Jersey City, NJ (265,549)
79. St. Petersburg, FL (265,098)
80. Laredo, TX (261,639)
81. Madison, WI (258,054)
82. Chandler, AZ (257,165)
83. Buffalo, NY (256,304)
84. Lubbock, TX (255,885)
85. Scottsdale, AZ (255,310)
86. Reno, NV (250,998)
87. Glendale, AZ (250,702)
88. Gilbert, AZ (248,279)
89. Winston-Salem, NC (246,328)
90. North Las Vegas, NV (245,949)
91. Norfolk, VA (244,076)
92. Chesapeake, VA (242,634)
93. Garland, TX (242,507)
94. Irving, TX (242,242)
95. Hialeah, FL (238,942)
96. Fremont, CA (237,807)
97. Boise, ID (228,790)
98. Richmond, VA (228,783)
99. Baton Rouge, LA (221,599)
100. Spokane, WA (219,190)
101. Des Moines, IA (216,853)
102. Tacoma, WA (216,279)
103. San Bernardino, CA (215,941)
104. Modesto, CA (215,030)
105. Fontana, CA (213,739)
106. Santa Clarita, CA (210,089)
107. Birmingham, AL (209,880)
108. Oxnard, CA (209,877)
109. Fayetteville, NC (209,468)
110. Moreno Valley, CA (209,050)
111. Rochester, NY (206,284)
112. Glendale, CA (201,361)
113. Huntington Beach, CA (200,641)
114. Salt Lake City, UT (200,591)
115. Grand Rapids, MI (200,217)
116. Amarillo, TX (199,924)
117. Yonkers, NY (199,663)
118. Aurora, IL (199,602)
119. Montgomery, AL (198,218)
120. Akron, OH (198,006)
121. Little Rock, AR (197,881)
122. Huntsville, AL (197,318)
123. Augusta, GA (196,939)
124. Port St. Lucie, FL (195,248)
125. Grand Prairie, TX (194,614)
126. Columbus, GA (194,160)
127. Tallahassee, FL (193,551)
128. Overland Park, KS (192,536)
129. Tempe, AZ (192,364)
130. McKinney, TX (191,645)
131. Mobile, AL (189,572)
132. Cape Coral, FL (189,343)
133. Shreveport, LA (188,987)
134. Frisco, TX (188,170)
135. Knoxville, TN (187,500)
136. Worcester, MA (185,877)
137. Brownsville, TX (183,392)
138. Vancouver, WA (183,012)
139. Fort Lauderdale, FL (182,595)
140. Sioux Falls, SD (181,883)
141. Ontario, CA (181,107)
142. Chattanooga, TN (180,557)
143. Providence, RI (179,335)
144. Newport News, VA (178,626)   
145. Rancho Cucamonga, CA (177,751)
146. Santa Rosa, CA (177,586)
147. Oceanside, CA (176,080)
148. Salem, OR (173,442)
149. Elk Grove, CA (172,886)
150. Garden Grove, CA (172,646)