The House under proportional representation
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  The House under proportional representation
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« on: December 05, 2012, 01:48:29 PM »

Essentially the House version of this thread. https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=165782.0

What if the parties were given house seats based on their percent of the House national popular vote?  This would lead to third parties getting seats and often neither major party would get a majority to elect a speaker, forcing them to deal with other parties to get votes.

Take 2000.

Party (2000)%Seats 
Republican47.3205.755
Democrat 47204.45
Other 2.29.57
Libertarian1.66.96
Independent0.73.045
Natural Law0.41.74
Green0.31.305
Independence0.20.87
Reform0.20.87
Constitution0.10.435
We have to round some parties up and some down to get exactly 435 seats.  In 2000 we need to round 6 parties up, these parties are the ones with the largest decimals.  The Libertarians, Independence, Reform, Republicans, Natural Law, and 'Other' all get an additional seat.

Republicans: 206
Democrats: 204
Other: 10
Libertarian: 7
Independent: 3
Natural Law: 2
Green: 1
Independence: 1
Reform: 1

Republicans would need to get 12 third party congressmen to get one of their own as speaker, Democrats would need 14. 

The Green congressperson would support the Democrat while the Libertarians could probably be persuaded to vote for the Republican.  The big wildcard are the 3 independents and 10 'others', each of those congressmen could be from pretty much any ideology.  It looks like that the Republicans would be more likely to put together a coalition, though it would be a very interesting scenario. 
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Bacon King
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« Reply #1 on: December 05, 2012, 02:03:14 PM »

It really depends on which method of apportionment is used. For example, the D'Hondt method is very common and the math has a slight bias towards larger parties so governments are easier to form. It's the system most of the world uses, and most proportional systems like D'hondt also usually come with a "threshold" of between 2% and 5% that you have to poll over to win any seats (which also keeps the legislature from becoming too fragmented).

Here's this cool D'hondt Calculator App you can toy around with a bit to see how it works.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #2 on: December 05, 2012, 03:31:32 PM »

D'Hondt with this year's numbers (link) would be:

Dem 214
GOP 209
Ind 12

Or 220-215 to the Democrats if you put in a 5% threshold.
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