What's the best analogy for Clinton running in 2016?
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  What's the best analogy for Clinton running in 2016?
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Author Topic: What's the best analogy for Clinton running in 2016?  (Read 398 times)
retromike22
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« on: December 01, 2012, 07:01:07 PM »

I'm trying to find an example of when a highly popular figure ran for President to succeed a President of the same party.

I don't think Gore in 2000 or Bush in 1988 were as popular as Clinton will likely be in 2016.
I can find an example of Eisenhower in 1952, but he had a different party than Truman.

Maybe Ulysses S Grant in 1868?
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RodPresident
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« Reply #1 on: December 01, 2012, 07:14:36 PM »

Or Hoover in 1928.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #2 on: December 01, 2012, 08:07:37 PM »

Rudy Giuliani's national favorability before he ran for president was comparable to Hillary Clinton's today:



Though obviously, that didn't survive his presidential campaign.  And he was never nearly as popular as a potential president within the GOP as HRC is within the Democratic Party.

Also, McCain's favorability in August 2004, ~4 years before the '08 election:
favorable 55%
unfavorable 19%

http://www.gallup.com/poll/1618/favorability-people-news.aspx#4

Though again, that was because, at that time, he had enormous crossover appeal with Democrats and Independents.  Less so within his own party.
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #3 on: December 01, 2012, 08:24:07 PM »

According to the link that Mr. Morden posted above, George W. Bush's favorability was around 70% throughout 1999. Interestingly, Bill Clinton was pretty unpopular in 1992 until the convention, when his favorables surged by about 20 points.

Also, what was going on with Jesse Jackson's favorables in the 1990s/2000s? He was at 46% in 1992, 38% in 1995, 59% in February 1999, 70% in May 1999, 46% in 2000 and 33% in 2001.

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