The "Who is running?" tea leaves thread

[Mr. Morden]

Cuomo denies that he's told anyone that he won't run if Clinton does:

http://www.politico.com/story/2013/04/andrew-cuomo-hillary-clinton-2016-90742.html

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Meanwhile, Paul Ryan says that he's "ruling out thinking about 2016"....for now:

http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2013/04/29/rep-paul-ryan-im-ruling-out-thinking-about-2016/

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[Mr. Morden]

Cuomo has a book deal:

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2013/04/30/another-potential-2016-er-inks-book-deal/

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[RogueBeaver]

Cruz heading to an NY fundraiser.

http://www.politico.com/story/2013/04/ted-cruz-new-york-gop-dinner-90772.html?hp=l7

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

I'd like to see Clinton crush Cuomo in the primary and go on to crush Cruz in the general.

[RogueBeaver]

Ryan supports gay adoption and civil unions.

http://blogs.rollcall.com/goppers/paul-ryan-supports-gay-adoption-if-not-marriage/

[Mr. Morden]

Jeb Bush to headline the Mackinac Policy Conference in Michigan at the end of the month:

http://detroit.cbslocal.com/2013/04/30/jeb-bush-to-headline-mackinac-policy-conference/

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[Mr. Morden]

Some of Cruz's "friends and confidants" confirm that he's thinking about a presidential run in 2016:

http://www.nationalreview.com/article/347052/cruz-2016

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Meanwhile, David Catanese notes the ballooning number of public appearances by likely 2016 candidates at events around the country.  "Over the next month, there will be a 2016 candidate stop about once every three days."  Six of those are in early primary states....seven if you count Michigan.

http://therun2016.com/its-may-time-for-2016-hustle/

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And of course, note that Biden is the only Democrat on that list.

[BluegrassBlueVote]

I'm reading all of this Cruz info and I still can't believe it. He's been a senator for four months.

[RogueBeaver]

I'm reading all of this Cruz info and I still can't believe it. He's been a senator for four months.

I don't like this trend either, but it wasn't started by Pubs. Rubio and Paul are also frosh. So the only big-name Pubs who'll have served full terms in statewide office are Walker and Jindal, possibility of Ryan being the only one with national experience.

[RogueBeaver]

Maginnis suggests that while Jindal's power is eroding, the legislature isn't gaining. Stalemate. Maybe Miles can tell us more.

http://www.nola.com/opinions/index.ssf/2013/04/how_lame_a_duck_is_gov_jindal.html

[BluegrassBlueVote]

I'm reading all of this Cruz info and I still can't believe it. He's been a senator for four months.

I don't like this trend either, but it wasn't started by Pubs. Rubio and Paul are also frosh. So the only big-name Pubs who'll have served full terms in statewide office are Walker and Jindal, possibility of Ryan being the only one with national experience.

Oh, I wasn't suggesting that this was a strictly partisan thing; ambition doesn't have a party identification. However, I do think this is made more possible in the GOP given the Tea Party niche while there isn't a comparable wing across the aisle.

And Christie will have served a term-and-a-half by then.

[Mr. Morden]

Gingrich is in South Carolina today, and says "I don't know" when asked if he'll run again in 2016:

http://www.prez16.com/2013/05/gingrich-on-2016-i-dont-know.html

[Consciously Unconscious]

Gingrich is in South Carolina today, and says "I don't know" when asked if he'll run again in 2016:

I'm pretty sure he'll run just so that he becomes more popular.  Or maybe I'm wrong.  Maybe he just really, really wants to see a moon colony before he dies.

[Mr. Morden]

Paul to the Reagan Library on May 31:

http://therun2016.com/rand-to-the-reagan-library/

[Mr. Morden]

Cuomo elaborates on his upcoming book:

http://politicker.com/2013/05/andrew-cuomo-explains-his-presidential-sounding-book/

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[This user has not been convicted of 34 felonies]

Ryan supports gay adoption and civil unions.

http://blogs.rollcall.com/goppers/paul-ryan-supports-gay-adoption-if-not-marriage/

Interesting.

[RogueBeaver]

Rand's staffing up.

http://www.nationalreview.com/article/347241/rand-machine-ramps

[Mr. Morden]

We have an event coming up that will feature both Chris Christie and Hillary Clinton:

http://www.politico.com/story/2013/05/hillary-clinton-chris-christie-clinton-global-initiative-90871.html?hp=r6

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[RogueBeaver]

Rubio got the Florida Legislature to push the primary date back.

http://miamiherald.typepad.com/nakedpolitics/2013/05/marco-rubio-gets-florida-legislature-to-eliminate-early-primary-in-2016.html

[Mr. Morden]

Today's NRA gathering in Houston featured speeches (some in person and some via video) by a slew of potential 2016 candidates: Cruz, Santorum, Jindal, Perry, Walker, and Ryan:

http://www.politico.com/story/2013/05/2016-republicans-nra-90908.html?hp=t3_3

[Mr. Morden]

The WaPo has a big Biden 2016 story out.  Well worth reading the full (4 page) story, but here's a highlight:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/biden-ponders-a-2016-bid-but-a-promotion-to-the-top-job-seems-to-be-a-long-shot/2013/05/02/445fa480-b278-11e2-9a98-4be1688d7d84_story.html

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[Mr. Morden]

Gillibrand repeats what she's said before about 2016: She "has no plans to run", and she wants Hillary Clinton to run:

http://www.capitalnewyork.com/article/politics/2013/05/8529562/kirsten-gillibrand-still-not-running-2016-still-hoping-hillary-does?top-featured-1

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Scott Walker says presidential buzz won't hurt his reelection chances.  He also refuses to commit to serving out the entirety of a potential second term:

http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/scott-walker-says-presidential-talk-wont-distract-him-from-reelection-bid-pd9qjsu-205996041.html

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[Bull Moose Base]

Am I the only person here who thinks Christie is more likely to pass on 2016 than run?

[BluegrassBlueVote]

Am I the only person here who thinks Christie is more likely to pass on 2016 than run?

I'd imagine so.

[RogueBeaver]

Media reporting that Christie had lap band surgery in February.