is missouri now 'solid gop' in prez elections?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 28, 2024, 07:52:22 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  is missouri now 'solid gop' in prez elections?		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: ....
#1
yes		  
#2
no		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 36

Author Topic: is missouri now 'solid gop' in prez elections?  (Read 2232 times)
WalterMitty
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,572


Political Matrix
E: 1.68, S: -2.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 11, 2012, 12:38:43 PM »
obviously yes.
Logged
Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
HockeyDude
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,376
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 11, 2012, 12:47:11 PM »
Hey Walter, long time no see. 

Yes, quite so. 
Logged
SUSAN CRUSHBONE
a Person
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,735
Antarctica


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 11, 2012, 01:02:23 PM »
No. Obama is a black, you see.
Logged
Badger
badger
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,317
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 11, 2012, 01:24:02 PM »
I'd say lean GOP, but if someone has a category/term for between lean and strong it maybe should fall there.

"Likely GOP"?
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 11, 2012, 01:29:08 PM »
Unless a conservative democrat who campaigns that way runs, otherwise I think its days as a bellwether are gone.
Logged
Badger
badger
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,317
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 11, 2012, 01:32:28 PM »
Quote from: Maxwell on November 11, 2012, 01:29:08 PM
Unless a conservative democrat who campaigns that way runs, otherwise I think its days as a bellwether are gone.

Oh agreed--MO hasn't been a bellweather for ages. But considering how VERY close Obama got with less than 53% of the vote....
Logged
dspNY
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,874
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 11, 2012, 01:47:24 PM »
Like I said in another thread, Missouri joined the SEC Smiley
Logged
Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 11, 2012, 01:54:44 PM »
I'd say Lean/Likely GOP; look at how McCaskill and Nixon did. It's obviously trended, but Obama is a fairly poor candidate for the state.
Logged
NVGonzalez
antwnzrr
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,687
Mexico


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 11, 2012, 02:16:41 PM »
Obama was a bad match for MO. Someone like Hillary will have a solid shot at MO in 2016.
Logged
WalterMitty
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,572


Political Matrix
E: 1.68, S: -2.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 11, 2012, 03:59:32 PM »
Quote from: NVGonzalez on November 11, 2012, 02:16:41 PM
Obama was a bad match for MO. Someone like Hillary will have a solid shot at MO in 2016.

no.
Logged
RBH
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,210


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 11, 2012, 04:04:30 PM »
actually we only lost Missouri in order to have a good shot in 2014.

/mittyLogic

Also when you look at the one open-seat state race in MO, the Democrat won 49-48.

The Missouri result is the result of the Obama campaign refusing to actually contest the state, to go along with a flawed state party
Logged
The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,267
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.32, S: -7.48

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 11, 2012, 04:08:53 PM »
Unless the next GOP ticket is Akin/Mourdock, yes
Logged
The Mikado
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,774


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: November 11, 2012, 04:09:19 PM »
The Upper South is racing towards the GOP.  Missouri is a state in reach of a Dem landslide, but short of that, it's becoming solid R.  
Logged
WalterMitty
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,572


Political Matrix
E: 1.68, S: -2.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: November 11, 2012, 04:09:44 PM »
Quote from: RBH on November 11, 2012, 04:04:30 PM
actually we only lost Missouri in order to have a good shot in 2014.

/mittyLogic


uh?
Logged
BM
BeccaM
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,261
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: November 11, 2012, 04:10:56 PM »
Logged
RBH
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,210


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: November 11, 2012, 04:34:31 PM »
Quote from: WalterMitty on November 11, 2012, 04:09:44 PM
Quote from: RBH on November 11, 2012, 04:04:30 PM
actually we only lost Missouri in order to have a good shot in 2014.

/mittyLogic


uh?

there's no search on the site, so maybe it was someone else who made those "Democrats should hope Obama loses so they can win the 2014 midterms" posts
Logged
King
intermoderate
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,356
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: November 11, 2012, 04:51:29 PM »
Whites will come around eventually.
Logged
opebo
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 47,009


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: November 11, 2012, 04:57:17 PM »
Quote from: The Mikado on November 11, 2012, 04:09:19 PM
The Upper South is racing towards the GOP.  Missouri is a state in reach of a Dem landslide, but short of that, it's becoming solid R.  

Missouri isn't fully an upper south state, I think, or anyway is the least so of those states.  But even accepting your definition (I'm assuming you mean MO-KY-TN-WV? or are you including AR?) Missouri is by far the most likely of those to go Democratic again someday, isn't it?
Logged
LastVoter
seatown
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,322
Thailand


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: November 11, 2012, 05:07:46 PM »
Logged
Biden 2024
wolfentoad66
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 336
Norfolk Island


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: November 11, 2012, 11:37:13 PM »
Quote from: Maxwell on November 11, 2012, 01:29:08 PM
Unless a conservative democrat who campaigns that way runs, otherwise I think its days as a bellwether are gone.

This. It was inherently irritating that RCP had Missouri as a tossup even the days before the election. Besides one PPP poll that showed Obama+1, and McCaskill +11 a week after the "legitimate rape" comment, nothing else pointed to an Obama victory in the State.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: November 12, 2012, 01:24:25 AM »
I wouldn't say "solid", because in the next election there will almost definitely be a swing back towards the (white ?) Democratic nominee. Especially in states like MO, AR, WV etc.

And especially if someone like Mike Beebe or Mark Warner are the Dem. nominees.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.045 seconds with 14 queries.