VA has now been updated to 51-47 Obama (just what PPP's final poll showed)

[Tender Branson]

1,957,640    51.03%
1,817,930    47.39%

Precincts Reporting: 2,584 of 2,588 (99.84%)

https://www.voterinfo.sbe.virginia.gov/election/Data/2012/68C30477-AAF2-46DD-994E-5D3BE8A89C9B/Unofficial/1_s.shtml

Dave's numbers:

Barack H. Obama   1,897,096    50.73%
Willard Mitt Romney   1,783,210    47.68%

https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/leftmenu.php?type=year&year=2012&off=0

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/final_2012_polls

[Tender Branson]

And for the first time it seems VA will be more Democratic than the nation.

Glorious news for future presidential cycles !

[Tender Branson]

And for the first time it seems VA will be more Democratic than the nation.

Glorious news for future presidential cycles !

The last time that happened was in 1948, when Truman defeated Dewey by 7 in VA, but only by 4 nationally.

[SPQR]

"PPP's house effect".

[Holmes]

Great news! Virginia will be important for Democrats in even closer races to come.

[Skill and Chance]

I could totally see a reverse Tilden/Hayes situation in the near future with VA and CO coming in this far left of the nation and FL potentially shifting that way.  And who would have thought Ohio actually didn't matter this year?

[Mr.Phips]

This is good news period for Dems in the state.  Im really excited about the governors race this year. 

[Skill and Chance]

This is good news period for Dems in the state.  Im really excited about the governors race this year. 

They just need to make sure that they have a say in the next redistricting.  VA probably gains a seat and a court would very likely draw a 6D-6R map.  They can re-take the state senate just by electing a D LG in 2013.  Of course there is a Blue Dog in coal country who is very obviously going down in the next cycle, but there is at least one Obama seat in NOVA still on the table for them to flip and make up for that.

[Mr.Phips]

This is good news period for Dems in the state.  Im really excited about the governors race this year. 

They just need to make sure that they have a say in the next redistricting.  VA probably gains a seat and a court would very likely draw a 6D-6R map.  They can re-take the state senate just by electing a D LG in 2013.  Of course there is a Blue Dog in coal country who is very obviously going down in the next cycle, but there is at least one Obama seat in NOVA still on the table for them to flip and make up for that.

Yeah, the only really vulnerable State Senate seat Democrats still hold is the one held by Luke Puckett in coal country.  Every other one they hold went for Obama by double digits and even went for Kerry in 2004.  So they have 19 pretty safe seats. 

[DemPGH]

Pretty much most of eastern VA has seen impressive Democratic increases - if this keeps up it's a lean Dem state. I think younger, more educated folks coming in are helping, like with NC.

[opebo]

I could totally see a reverse Tilden/Hayes situation in the near future with VA and CO coming in this far left of the nation and FL potentially shifting that way.  And who would have thought Ohio actually didn't matter this year?

Yes, VA and CO are the big news, not OH.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

I could totally see a reverse Tilden/Hayes situation in the near future with VA and CO coming in this far left of the nation and FL potentially shifting that way.  And who would have thought Ohio actually didn't matter this year?

There are over half a million provisional ballots left to count in Ohio that overwhelmingly favor Obama.

[Tender Branson]

I could totally see a reverse Tilden/Hayes situation in the near future with VA and CO coming in this far left of the nation and FL potentially shifting that way.  And who would have thought Ohio actually didn't matter this year?

There are over half a million provisional ballots left to count in Ohio that overwhelmingly favor Obama.

Half a million ? Where did you get that number from ?

The SoS site from OH says 325.000 ballots.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Huh, I thought it was 700K or so. Still, Obama will gain a lot of ground in Ohio when they're counted on November 17th.

[Mehmentum]

I could totally see a reverse Tilden/Hayes situation in the near future with VA and CO coming in this far left of the nation and FL potentially shifting that way.  And who would have thought Ohio actually didn't matter this year?

Honestly, before polls starting showing abmornall strength for Obama in Ohio, I always thought that Obama would do much better in VA/CO than in OH/FL.  It turns out my original instinct was correct. 

[Skill and Chance]

The nightmare 2016 scenario:

Rubio/Jindal 51%/268 EV

Warner/Klobuchar 48%/270 EV

VA-09 swings 10% back to Warner and decides the election.  Good luck convincing the rest of the country that it's because he likes guns...

[opebo]

The nightmare 2016 scenario:

Rubio/Jindal 51%/268 EV

Warner/Klobuchar 48%/270 EV

VA-09 swings 10% back to Warner and decides the election.  Good luck convincing the rest of the country that it's because he likes guns...

That's nice but I think it would be less close than that.  NV/CO aren't going to some uncle Tomás Cuban.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Why haven't NYT, CNN and Google updated their numbers yet?