McCain 2008/Obama 2012 counties
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Author Topic: McCain 2008/Obama 2012 counties  (Read 4754 times)
RBH
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« on: November 10, 2012, 06:47:47 PM »
a list of the ones i've found

Conecuh County, AL
Chaffee County, CO
Early County, GA
Woodbury County, IA
Warren County, MS
Richmond County/Staten Island, NY
Nash County, NC
Darlington County, SC
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #1 on: November 10, 2012, 07:24:36 PM »
The IA one is bizarre.  Everything else has a pretty obvious explanation.
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memphis
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« Reply #2 on: November 10, 2012, 09:38:23 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on November 10, 2012, 07:24:36 PM
The IA one is bizarre.  Everything else has a pretty obvious explanation.

It went from McCain+1.5 to Obama +0.5. Not a huge swing. Maybe a black family moved to Sioux City Tongue
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #3 on: November 10, 2012, 09:42:26 PM »
Obama came really close to flipping Pike, OH (and may yet win it after they count the provisional ballots).
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RI
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« Reply #4 on: November 11, 2012, 03:03:00 AM »
Quote from: RBH on November 10, 2012, 06:47:47 PM
a list of the ones i've found

Conecuh County, AL
Chaffee County, CO
Early County, GA
Woodbury County, IA
Warren County, MS
Richmond County/Staten Island, NY
Nash County, NC
Darlington County, SC

Barbour County, AL
Franklin County, KY
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #5 on: November 11, 2012, 04:26:43 AM »
One close, unsurprising (though large and, you know, nice to have on board) county joins the list and you need to make a new threa? Use mine.
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dspNY
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« Reply #6 on: November 11, 2012, 12:07:14 PM »
The complete list so far:

Barber and Conecuh Counties, Alabama
Chaffee County, Colorado
Early County, Georgia
Franklin County, Kentucky
Woodbury County, Iowa
Warren County, Mississippi
Staten Island (Richmond County), NY
Nash County, North Carolina
Darlington County, South Carolina


Some that came really close:

Monroe County went to McCain by 50.1%, Romney won it by 2 votes (1585 to 1583)
Pike, Ross and Scioto Counties (Ohio). which could get tipped by provisionals
Tiny Mellette County, South Dakota (Romney won by 6 votes)
Cumberland County, Virginia
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Brittain33
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« Reply #7 on: November 11, 2012, 12:15:11 PM »
Which Monroe County?
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #8 on: November 11, 2012, 12:27:34 PM »
Quote from: dspNY on November 11, 2012, 12:07:14 PM
The complete list so far:

Barber and Conecuh Counties, Alabama
Chaffee County, Colorado
Early County, Georgia
Franklin County, Kentucky
Woodbury County, Iowa
Warren County, Mississippi
Staten Island (Richmond County), NY
Nash County, North Carolina
Darlington County, South Carolina


Some that came really close:

Monroe County went to McCain by 50.1%, Romney won it by 2 votes (1585 to 1583)
Pike, Ross and Scioto Counties (Ohio). which could get tipped by provisionals
Tiny Mellette County, South Dakota (Romney won by 6 votes)
Cumberland County, Virginia

Any idea on that one?
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Badger
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« Reply #9 on: November 11, 2012, 01:25:27 PM »
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dspNY
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« Reply #10 on: November 11, 2012, 01:43:50 PM »
Monroe County, Arkansas, I believe
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Badger
badger
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« Reply #11 on: November 11, 2012, 02:04:11 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on November 11, 2012, 12:27:34 PM
Quote from: dspNY on November 11, 2012, 12:07:14 PM
The complete list so far:

Barber and Conecuh Counties, Alabama
Chaffee County, Colorado
Early County, Georgia
Franklin County, Kentucky
Woodbury County, Iowa
Warren County, Mississippi
Staten Island (Richmond County), NY
Nash County, North Carolina
Darlington County, South Carolina


Some that came really close:

Monroe County went to McCain by 50.1%, Romney won it by 2 votes (1585 to 1583)
Pike, Ross and Scioto Counties (Ohio). which could get tipped by provisionals
Tiny Mellette County, South Dakota (Romney won by 6 votes)
Cumberland County, Virginia

Any idea on that one?

State capital. A lot of people laid off due to the stimulus patching holes in the state budget. Also I'm guessing (wildly) it is one part of the state where a younger demographic trend is growing.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #12 on: November 11, 2012, 02:19:31 PM »
Also I don't think Obama won Woodbury County, Iowa. CNN has the results: Romney-22,136 Obama-22,026
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Badger
badger
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« Reply #13 on: November 11, 2012, 02:48:18 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on November 11, 2012, 02:19:31 PM
Also I don't think Obama won Woodbury County, Iowa. CNN has the results: Romney-22,136 Obama-22,026

Yeah, it flipped on the Forum map too (with a slightly lower vote total reported).
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« Reply #14 on: November 11, 2012, 03:08:21 PM »
Woodbury is weird. In 2004 it voted 50.8/48.55 for Bush. The rather anemic swing to Obama was very weird for Iowa. So if it did indeed flip, that's less than the 2004:2008 result. Sioux City must be polarized as well (and isn't a surprising place to be so.)
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Badger
badger
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« Reply #15 on: November 11, 2012, 03:11:35 PM »
Quote from: Dying Thoughts of a Martyr on November 11, 2012, 03:08:21 PM
Woodbury is weird. In 2004 it voted 50.8/48.55 for Bush. The rather anemic swing to Obama was very weird for Iowa. So if it did indeed flip, that's less than the 2004:2008 result. Sioux City must be polarized as well (and isn't a surprising place to be so.)

Are there many (any?) provisionals to count in IA? Even a tiny number could flip the county....
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #16 on: November 11, 2012, 08:42:14 PM »
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RI
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« Reply #17 on: November 11, 2012, 09:44:07 PM »

Chautauqua County, NY should not be red.
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