The Official Obama 2.0 Approval Ratings Thread

[pbrower2a]

pbrower, you forgot to include PA in your map. It's on page 2 of this thread. The result was 52-45 approve by Quinnipiac.

Pennsylvania (Quinnipiac):

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/pennsylvania/release-detail?ReleaseID=1815

With pleasure.  So far approval ratings for the President look much like the electoral results. No buyer's remorse in OH, PA, or VA yet.

Not with so much pleasure:

Kentucky Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
Approve .......................................................... 38%
Disapprove...................................................... 59%
Not sure .......................................................... 3%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_Kentucky_1212.pdf

As in Georgia, the right Democrat can win in Kentucky:

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60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)
50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (30% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
40-44% blue
under 40% deep blue

Polls only from after the 2012 election.

[Tender Branson]

NC (PPP):

48-49 disapprove

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NC_121212.pdf

[pbrower2a]

NC (PPP):

48-49 disapprove

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NC_121212.pdf

Razor-thin in 2012 and razor-thin now.

60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)
50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (30% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
40-44% blue
under 40% deep blue

Polls only from after the 2012 election.

[Lief 🗽]

So PPP is basically not seeing an Obama approvals bump? That's weird.

[J. J.]

Gallup  http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve:  54, +1

Disapprove: 38, -2


Gallup is, well, Gallup.

Their weekly is showing a decline to 50/44.

[J. J.]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

Approve:  52, -3

Disapprove:  46 +2

Strongly Approve:  31, -3

Strongly Disapprove:  36, +1

[Tender Branson]

Pew:

55-39 approve

http://www.people-press.org/2012/12/13/as-fiscal-cliff-nears-democrats-have-public-opinion-on-their-side

[J. J.]

Gallup  http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve:  54, u

Disapprove: 38, u

[pbrower2a]

So PPP is basically not seeing an Obama approvals bump? That's weird.

Second term; he has not changed, and nothing big has happened. People knew what they were getting when they voted for him -- or against him. This isn't 2008.

[J. J.]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

Approve:  55, +3

Disapprove:  43, -2

Strongly Approve:  31, u

Strongly Disapprove:  35, -1

Rasmsussen noted high volatility.

[Lief 🗽]

Rasmussen's become Gallup.

[J. J.]

Gallup  http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve:  51, -3

Disapprove: 42, +4

[J. J.]

Rasmussen's become Gallup.

Ah, did you see today's Gallup? 

[Tender Branson]

Virginia - Public Opinion Strategies (R):

55-43 approve

http://hamptonroads.com/2012/12/va-poll-mcdonnell-gets-lofty-marks-cuccinellimcauliffe-race-tossup

[Tender Branson]

Rasmussen - Sunday, December 16, 2012:

57-42 approve

34% strongly approve, 33% strongly disapprove

Today is the first time the president’s Approval Index has been in positive territory since June 29, 2009.

[BlueSwan]

Rasmussen - Sunday, December 16, 2012:

57-42 approve

34% strongly approve, 33% strongly disapprove

Today is the first time the president’s Approval Index has been in positive territory since June 29, 2009.

Amazing!

[J. J.]

12/15/12

Gallup  http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve:  50, (-1)

Disapprove: 43, (+1)

Same for  12/16/12.

[J. J.]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

12/16/12

Approve:  57, +1

Disapprove:  42 +2

Strongly Approve:  34, +1

Strongly Disapprove:  33, +1

[That marked the first time Obama was above water on the strongly number since June 2009]

12/17/12

Approve:  55, -2

Disapprove:  44 +2

Strongly Approve:  34, u

Strongly Disapprove:  33, u

[J. J.]

Gallup  http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve:  50, u

Disapprove: 42, -1

[Tender Branson]

Rasmussen:

55-43

Washington Post/ABC News (among RV):

55-42

This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone Dec. 13-16, 2012, among a random national sample of 1,002 adults, including landline and cell phone-only respondents. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3.5 percentage points. Results for questions 28 to 31 are based on interviews from Dec. 14-16 among 602 adults, with a 4.5-point error margin. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/postabcpoll_20121216.html

[pbrower2a]

Michigan, PPP:

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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MI_1218.pdf

The big change is in the approval for the Governor. The Winter of Discontent has begun with Michigan politics even if the winter snows have been late to arrive.

60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)
50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (30% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
40-44% blue
under 40% deep blue

Polls only from after the 2012 election.

[Tender Branson]

Rasmussen:

55-43

Washington Post/ABC News (among RV):

55-42

This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone Dec. 13-16, 2012, among a random national sample of 1,002 adults, including landline and cell phone-only respondents. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3.5 percentage points. Results for questions 28 to 31 are based on interviews from Dec. 14-16 among 602 adults, with a 4.5-point error margin. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/postabcpoll_20121216.html

Gallup:

52-40

[Franzl]

Does anyone have any explanation for his sudden popularity?

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Quite funny, he's +8 over Bush's post-reelection approvals (+2 vs +10)

[Tender Branson]

CBS News:

57-37 approve

http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-250_162-57559902/poll-most-predict-major-problems-if-fiscal-cliff-isnt-averted/?pageNum=4