NBC Marist VA: Obama 48 Romney 47
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Author Topic: NBC Marist VA: Obama 48 Romney 47  (Read 1269 times)
Yank2133
Junior Chimp
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« on: November 05, 2012, 12:12:02 AM »
http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/11/04/14929602-nbcwsjmarist-poll-virginia-could-go-either-way?lite
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2012, 12:14:21 AM »
Well, it matches just about everyone else's result in VA at least, so heap it onto the great poll pile, I suppose.
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pepper11
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2012, 12:18:57 AM »
Seems legit. Unlike PPP
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Yank2133
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2012, 12:22:04 AM »

PPP nailed VA last time.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2012, 12:24:10 AM »
The demographics are reasonable and reflect Romney being in a better position than McCain.  This looks much less controversial than their midwest polls:

D+3 vs. D+6 in 2008

73% white vs. 70% white in 2008
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Reds4
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« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2012, 12:25:09 AM »
This looks like a good poll for Obama.. I agree that the demographics look reasonable... Virginia is going to be very close!
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TrapperHawk
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« Reply #6 on: November 05, 2012, 12:31:25 AM »
Actually an improvement for Obama by 1 point. The last Marist poll in Virginia had Romney with 48% and Obama with 47%. I'll take an improvement any day of the week, no matter how small. I'm very optimistic for Obama's chances in Virginia now.
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Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
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« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2012, 12:33:12 AM »
Quote from: Reds4 on November 05, 2012, 12:25:09 AM
This looks like a good poll for Obama.. I agree that the demographics look reasonable... Virginia is going to be very close!
I love you, man. One of the best posters on the 2012, seriously. You cut through all the hackery and answer honestly.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #8 on: November 05, 2012, 12:33:58 AM »
Btw Obama overperformed the final RCP average by 2.0% here last time.  That's not like Nevada, but it's probably statistically significant.
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Sbane
sbane
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« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2012, 02:50:01 AM »
Isn't 73% whites too high? In any case they have probably nailed the top line numbers.
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