Virginia: Washinton Post Poll: Obama 51- Romney 47
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  Virginia: Washinton Post Poll: Obama 51- Romney 47		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Virginia: Washinton Post Poll: Obama 51- Romney 47  (Read 5369 times)
Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
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« on: October 27, 2012, 06:31:41 PM »
« edited: October 27, 2012, 07:06:03 PM by Clinton1996 "Sec. of Explaining Stuff" »
No link or numbers yet, but I just got the iPad notification from the WP Politics App.
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The President leads 51-47, down from the 52-44 lead he enjoyed during his Post-Convention:47% highs during September, but still good.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/decision2012/2012/10/27/6ce69246-2057-11e2-9cd5-b55c38388962_story.html
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And here's something else for Cliffy, Unmegus, Dirks, and Winfield......

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sobo
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« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2012, 06:33:47 PM »
Apparently it's 51-47. Slim lead my ass.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/decision2012/2012/10/27/6ce69246-2057-11e2-9cd5-b55c38388962_story.html
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #2 on: October 27, 2012, 06:35:14 PM »
Hahahah "slim lead" = above 50% and leading by four now? The media really is shameless about this stuff.

This result is a lot better than I expected though. Unambiguously very good numbers for President Obama.
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Ljube
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« Reply #3 on: October 27, 2012, 06:36:17 PM »
That's not slim by any definition.
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Franzl
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« Reply #4 on: October 27, 2012, 06:38:11 PM »
Is the WA Post reliable?
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opebo
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« Reply #5 on: October 27, 2012, 06:38:21 PM »
Quote from: Ljube on October 27, 2012, 06:36:17 PM
That's not slim by any definition.

No, nor is there any realistic possibility of a Romney win without this state.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #6 on: October 27, 2012, 06:38:43 PM »
The poll has a large sample size and includes cell phones. Very good.
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Yank2133
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« Reply #7 on: October 27, 2012, 06:41:22 PM »
A 4 point lead with less then 2 weeks to go isn't a slim lead. BTW wasn't J.J the one saying VA was likely gone?
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Torie
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« Reply #8 on: October 27, 2012, 06:41:27 PM »
I get nervous with any poll that Krazen does not post. Only Krazen should be allowed to post polls. Thanks.
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Franzl
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« Reply #9 on: October 27, 2012, 06:42:35 PM »
Quote from: Torie on October 27, 2012, 06:41:27 PM
I get nervous with any poll that Krazen does not post. Only Krazen should be allowed to post polls. Thanks.

Especially because Krazen posts a representative sample of polls...hmm? Wink
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #10 on: October 27, 2012, 06:43:35 PM »
This poll also backs up the PPP poll showing Obama up 51-46, almost identical numbers. Looks like Virginia is back in the Obama column.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #11 on: October 27, 2012, 06:44:19 PM »
Will anyone ask those jackasses from Suffolk if they are going to poll Virginia again or have they crawled under a rock?
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Yank2133
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« Reply #12 on: October 27, 2012, 06:45:00 PM »
My prediction of 303 electoral votes for Obama is starting to look up now......
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #13 on: October 27, 2012, 06:45:42 PM »
Like CO, VA is another state where some people seem to be 'banking' on a Romney win when it is at best a coin flip for Romney. The state has had unemployment under 6% for all of 2012 and of course tons of government jobs. So Romney's talk of doom and gloom and government not creating jobs doesn't exactly resonate.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #14 on: October 27, 2012, 06:46:45 PM »
Wow, the Romney campaign is free falling!
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Ljube
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« Reply #15 on: October 27, 2012, 06:48:08 PM »
At least the poll shows Mittmentum.
Their previous poll was 52-44 Obama.
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Ty440
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« Reply #16 on: October 27, 2012, 06:48:45 PM »
Yes Yes Yes!

One of the most  more favorable demographic states  in the nation for Obama , white liberals in Nova, over 20% AA, a lot of immigrants.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #17 on: October 27, 2012, 06:49:51 PM »
Quote from: Ljube on October 27, 2012, 06:48:08 PM
At least the poll shows Mittmentum.
Their previous poll was 52-44 Obama.

Spin it all you want, but being at 47 when your opponent is over 50 with less than two weeks less is a pretty horrendous place to be.
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J. J.
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« Reply #18 on: October 27, 2012, 06:49:59 PM »

Their track record is okay for a newspaper poll.  It's better than most Uni polls, but not that good.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #19 on: October 27, 2012, 06:51:27 PM »
Quote from: Ljube on October 27, 2012, 06:48:08 PM
At least the poll shows Mittmentum.
Their previous poll was 52-44 Obama.


Their previous poll was one month ago but nice try.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #20 on: October 27, 2012, 06:54:24 PM »
Quote from: J. J. on October 27, 2012, 06:49:59 PM

Their track record is okay for a newspaper poll.  It's better than most Uni polls, but not that good.

Their poll four years ago said Obama +8. He won by 6.5%. Seems good to me.
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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
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« Reply #21 on: October 27, 2012, 06:55:16 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on October 27, 2012, 06:51:27 PM
Quote from: Ljube on October 27, 2012, 06:48:08 PM
At least the poll shows Mittmentum.
Their previous poll was 52-44 Obama.


Their previous poll was one month ago but nice try.

As I stated in the OP, that poll was taken from September 12-16, during Obama's Post-Convention/47% sugar highs. It was an artificial bounce that had begun to dissipate on September 30th, almost a week before the 1st Presidential Debate.
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Devils30
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« Reply #22 on: October 27, 2012, 06:55:47 PM »
Could Obama lose the PV and win 303 electoral votes?
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Yank2133
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« Reply #23 on: October 27, 2012, 06:57:57 PM »
Quote from: Lief on October 27, 2012, 06:54:24 PM
Quote from: J. J. on October 27, 2012, 06:49:59 PM

Their track record is okay for a newspaper poll.  It's better than most Uni polls, but not that good.

Their poll four years ago said Obama +8. He won by 6.5%. Seems good to me.

Yeah, they are decent.

PPP is more worrisome for Romney supporters, they were right on the mark about Virginia.
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Devils30
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« Reply #24 on: October 27, 2012, 06:58:51 PM »
The poll might have a slight D leaning house effect but a 51-49 Obama win is very plausible. Again, this state is not Virginia circa 1980,1990,2000
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