MO-Mason Dixon: Romney+13

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

I doubt McCaskill is only down 2... Obama probably loses this by 7-9 points.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Considering how all-over-the-place the polling has been this year... there are going to be a HELL of a lot red faces on Nov 7.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Considering how all-over-the-place the polling has been this year... there are going to be a HELL of a lot red faces on Nov 7.

I know I know, it's going to be the conservatives, Ras and Gallup are way off.  Seems to me the last couple elections Ras has erred on the side of the Dems and understated the GOP vote.  Looks like right now Gallup and Ras are still doing that, wonder when they are going to switch to what their Party ID shows or if they'll err on the Dem side again.

Ras had a 3.8% GOP bias in 2010 and if you look at Gallup in 2008/2010... their issue isn't lean, it's about over-weighting enthusiasm, where it had Obama winning by 4% more than he did and the GOP winning the vote in 2010 by 15% instead of 7%... also not forgetting their odd 80% white electorate they seem to be operating on this year...

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Rasmussen has a slight GOP bias.  I'm wondering if PPP still doesn't have a larger bias than everyone thinks.  A lot of their polls are the odd man out. 

I know that's the rep.  But he doesn't seem to be moving to what his turnout model suggest of R+1, he's still on at least D+3.....

I don't know if he doesn't want to catch crap like Gallup or what...

I believe it's D+1 at the moment... nationally.