PPP NC: Tied.

[krazen1211]

No way this can be true, J.J. told me NC was gone for Obama.

It isn't.  D turnout is running well behind 2008.  In theory, Obama could be tied in early voting, but that would be a disaster for him.

Who needs facts?

[krazen1211]

No way this can be true, J.J. told me NC was gone for Obama.

It isn't.  D turnout is running well behind 2008.  In theory, Obama could be tied in early voting, but that would be a disaster for him.

Who needs facts?

I don't think you have any right to discuss what other people need....

It's really funny to see people like you ignore what's actually happening on the ground when your own obama fellow tells people to look at whats actually happening on the ground.

[krazen1211]

No way this can be true, J.J. told me NC was gone for Obama.

It isn't.  D turnout is running well behind 2008.  In theory, Obama could be tied in early voting, but that would be a disaster for him.

Who needs facts?

I don't think you have any right to discuss what other people need....

It's really funny to see people like you ignore what's actually happening on the ground when your own obama fellow tells people to look at whats actually happening on the ground.

Oh, you mean like how Obama has a massive advantage in campaign offices & GOtV?

No, I mean exactly what JJ said just above. Can you read?

[krazen1211]

No way this can be true, J.J. told me NC was gone for Obama.

It isn't.  D turnout is running well behind 2008.  In theory, Obama could be tied in early voting, but that would be a disaster for him.

Who needs facts?

I don't think you have any right to discuss what other people need....

It's really funny to see people like you ignore what's actually happening on the ground when your own obama fellow tells people to look at whats actually happening on the ground.

Oh, you mean like how Obama has a massive advantage in campaign offices & GOtV?

No, I mean exactly what JJ said just above. Can you read?

I was assuming (wrongly, apparently) that you had some fragile connection to reality. Now, the question is: can you read? ↓

No way this can be true, J.J. told me NC was gone for Obama.

It isn't.  D turnout is running well behind 2008.  In theory, Obama could be tied in early voting, but that would be a disaster for him.

No, the poll says he's up 15% in early voting.

He would have to be winning roughly all the D vote and 2/3 of the NP vote.  Outlier possibly, or a really bad weighting. 

Current NC Early Vote Party Reg   
Dem   50.7%
Rep   30.5%
None/Oth   18.8%

From that, it looks like he just needs to be winning about half of independents and 85% of Democrats, which is reasonable.

Yes, I can. Obviously, you cannot, because if you did, you would know that early voting was 57% D this time 4 years ago.