NV, Ras: Heller in the lead

[krazen1211]

Link


Heller 50
Berkeley 45


Good news.

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: Nevada Senator by Rasmussen on 2012-10-24

Summary: D: 45%, R: 50%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Miles]

On this day in 2010, Rassy had Angle leading 49-45, FWIW.

[Negusa Nagast 🚀]

On this day in 2010, Rassy had Angle leading 49-45, FWIW.

Was about to say the same thing. Berkeley is polling the same as Reid. This could be a sleeper race on election night.

[Franzl]

On this day in 2010, Rassy had Angle leading 49-45, FWIW.

Was about to say the same thing. Berkeley is polling the same as Reid. This could be a sleeper race on election night.

But Heller's not Angle. Surely the crazy factor led some to decide to vote for Reid at the last moment?

[Negusa Nagast 🚀]

On this day in 2010, Rassy had Angle leading 49-45, FWIW.

Was about to say the same thing. Berkeley is polling the same as Reid. This could be a sleeper race on election night.

But Heller's not Angle. Surely the crazy factor led some to decide to vote for Reid at the last moment?

Hence "could." I imagine many undecideds walked into the polling booth and decided that Reid was miles better than Angle. Still, Democrats tend to underpoll here, and this is a Rassy poll so I'd take the margin with a grain of salt.

[memphis]

On this day in 2010, Rassy had Angle leading 49-45, FWIW.

Was about to say the same thing. Berkeley is polling the same as Reid. This could be a sleeper race on election night.

But Heller's not Angle. Surely the crazy factor led some to decide to vote for Reid at the last moment?

It's more about NV being very difficult to poll with the crazy demographics and such. I believe Obama also notably underpolled in NV.

[BM]

Berkeley will win. She's underpolling because pollsters clearly don't know how to poll Nevada and because she's unlikable and corrupt, but Mexicans, people who hate Republicans, and casino bankrolled voter fraud will thankfully put her over the top.

[Niemeyerite]

Berkley has this in the bag.

[Badger]

On this day in 2010, Rassy had Angle leading 49-45, FWIW.

Was about to say the same thing. Berkeley is polling the same as Reid. This could be a sleeper race on election night.

But Heller's not Angle. Surely the crazy factor led some to decide to vote for Reid at the last moment?

But Reid also won by, what, almost a 5 point margin? So.....