CA: Public Policy Institute of CA: Obama leads by double digits

[Lief 🗽]

New Poll: California President by Public Policy Institute of CA on 2012-10-24

Summary: D: 53%, R: 41%, I: 2%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Eraserhead]

Terrible for Obama but it doesn't matter.

[Miles]

Weak for Obama; Boxer won by a similar margin in 2010.

[Speed of Sound]

I'm not terribly surprised that Obama is struggling to rack up the mega margins in some of these liberal states. A lot of the left is not exactly enthusiastic about Obama (lord knows I'm not). I wouldn't be surprised if at least some of them come home at the last second on election day, though. Maybe not, it may mean some good (relatively speaking) numbers for the Greens in San Fran, etc.

[opebo]

It'll be hilarious if Romney loses electorally with a majority of the popular vote due to low Obama wins in CA/IL/east coast, etc, and even bigger R majorities in the South, but the Swing States - OH/WI/CO/VA/NH aren't close enough to dispute in court.

Now that I would enjoy.

[Torie]

For odd reason, I actually got a call from Pub headquarters about ten days ago right before I hit the road asking if I were voting for Mittens. I guess they have too much money or something.

[Sbane]

For odd reason, I actually got a call from Pub headquarters about ten days ago right before I hit the road asking if I were voting for Mittens. I guess they have too much money or something.

Does the Romney campaign obsessively hit you up for cash like the Obama campaign does to anyone who ever gave them their email address?

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Romney is good for SoCal. The state may have even be in play if Romney had remote appeal with Latino voters.

[Sbane]

I don't know if the state would be in play if Romney would have more appeal to Latinos, but he could have got it down to a 12-13 point loss. Right now with a tied race he is probably behind by 16-17 points, implying just a slight Republican trend. PPIC tends to have a very tight likely voter screen. I trust the Field poll above anyone else in California, and they haven't weighed in after the debates. They probably will soon.

[Torie]

For odd reason, I actually got a call from Pub headquarters about ten days ago right before I hit the road asking if I were voting for Mittens. I guess they have too much money or something.

Does the Romney campaign obsessively hit you up for cash like the Obama campaign does to anyone who ever gave them their email address?

Oh I have about 50 letters from Mittens asking for dough. I guess that is because my once membership in the Lincoln Club of OC is in the public domain. Off topic, but check out Campaign Spot at NRO. The turnout percentage models of most pollsters seem wildly high.  Only Ras at 70 percent of registered voters seems to have it right. I would put up a thread but I am posting this from my cell phone.

Oh, I am moving to Maine. I love the place!

[J. J.]

For odd reason, I actually got a call from Pub headquarters about ten days ago right before I hit the road asking if I were voting for Mittens. I guess they have too much money or something.

I've been making those types of call, across PA. 

[Sbane]

For odd reason, I actually got a call from Pub headquarters about ten days ago right before I hit the road asking if I were voting for Mittens. I guess they have too much money or something.

Does the Romney campaign obsessively hit you up for cash like the Obama campaign does to anyone who ever gave them their email address?

Oh I have about 50 letters from Mittens asking for dough. I guess that is because my once membership in the Lincoln Club of OC is in the public domain. Off topic, but check out Campaign Spot at NRO. The turnout percentage models of most pollsters seem wildly high.  Only Ras at 70 percent of registered voters seems to have it right. I would put up a thread but I am posting this from my cell phone.

Oh, I am moving to Maine. I love the place!

Actually, if voters make the right decision in a couple weeks, Washington state might be the right place to move to.

[Skill and Chance]

And this, folks, is why we are talking about an EV/PV split this year.

On another note, this has to be enticing for Rubio or Martinez to play in CA if they ever get a nomination.

[Sbane]

I think the Asian vote is more important to look at, imho. I don't think they will trend Republican, but I could be wrong about that, especially down in Socal. That allows Republicans to form a base, and then pick off well to do Hispanics with candidates like Martinez or Rubio as well as distancing themselves from people like Jan Brewer and Russell Pearce.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Romney is good for SoCal. The state may have even be in play if Romney had remote appeal with Latino voters.

lol no

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Romney is good for SoCal. The state may have even be in play if Romney had remote appeal with Latino voters.

lol no

Certainly not a swing state, but maybe just within 10%.