CO: Rasmussen Romney by 4

[Cliffy]

Romney 50 Obama 46

Obama approval 46, disapproval 51

Romney up 12 with male voters, down 3 with female

Link

[krazen1211]

Excellent.

[Gass3268]

Right...

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Yup, sure thing, Scotty.

Final poll in 2008: O +4
Reality: O +9

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

I could see Romney having a small lead here, but not by 4.

[Reaganfan]

Yup, sure thing, Scotty.

Final poll in 2008: O +4
Reality: O +9

You realize this isn't 2008, right?

[tmthforu94]

New Poll: Colorado President by Rasmussen on 2012-10-21

Summary: D: 46%, R: 50%, I: 2%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[opebo]

Yup, sure thing, Scotty.

Final poll in 2008: O +4
Reality: O +9

You realize this isn't 2008, right?

Extrapolating, Obama should win Colorado by 1% in 2012.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Yup, sure thing, Scotty.

Final poll in 2008: O +4
Reality: O +9

You realize this isn't 2008, right?

Yup... I also realize that Rasmussen overestimates Republicans by a good 4-5 pts consistently over the last 3 cycles.  

But you guys go on and continue with your whining about something fluid like Party ID in polls and I'll stick to facts and actual numbers.

[tmthforu94]

Something I find interesting: 4 states, Iowa, Virginia, Colorado, and New Hampshire, are now white, meaning its virtually tied in that state. I've never seen that before on the polling map since I've been around.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Yup, sure thing, Scotty.

Final poll in 2008: O +4
Reality: O +9

You realize this isn't 2008, right?

You realize this is Rasmussen, right?  More seriously, this is considerably more Republican than other recent polls and I think the next closest is a R+1 poll from We Ask America who I trust even less than Rasmussen.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Yup, sure thing, Scotty.

Final poll in 2008: O +4
Reality: O +9

You realize this isn't 2008, right?

You realize this is Rasmussen, right?  More seriously, this is considerably more Republican than other recent polls and I think the next closest is a R+1 poll from We Ask America who I trust even less than Rasmussen.

Once again.  Party ID is fluid.  It doesn't mean anything.  It likely means with Rasmussen's methodology they are prone to finding more independents who will identify with Republicans at the time.  The reason they are so skewed towards the GOP is that their methods are horribly outdated, yet never readjusted. 

[Cliffy]

No they don't and that's the pure beauty of watching this election.  They think it's still 2008..

Yup, sure thing, Scotty.

Final poll in 2008: O +4
Reality: O +9

You realize this isn't 2008, right?

[5280]

I'm pretty confident Romney can win this state by 2-5 points on election night.

[Lief 🗽]

As others have pointed out, Rasmussen is historically pretty horrible at polling Colorado. He also said that Buck would win by 4% in 2010. His polls in Nevada are also garbage, so maybe he's just bad at polling Hispanics.

[5280]

As others have pointed out, Rasmussen is historically pretty horrible at polling Colorado. He also said that Buck would win by 4% in 2010. His polls in Nevada are also garbage, so maybe he's just bad at polling Hispanics.

2010 is not 2012, and Ken Buck was far right on social issues.  This is a non-factor.

[Northeast Rep Snowball]

Does he have cell phone polling, because that might be it.

[Yank2133]

Does he have cell phone polling, because that might be it.

No, Rasmussen and PPP still only do landlines.

I hope after this election regardless of who wins they change that because it is seriously outdated.

[Devils30]

No, NV and CO polling was off in both 2008,2010- about 7 in NV and 4 in CO. If Obama is winning NV by anything beyond 4 he should win CO or have a great shot.

[LiberalJunkie]

Democrats have an advantage in Colorado with Hispanics and also having voter registration favoring Democrats there.

[Negusa Nagast 🚀]

Final poll in 2010:
R:48%
D:44%
R+4
Actual
R:46%
D:48%
D+2

Scotty has been remarkably consistent. 5/6 off the margin both times.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Yup, sure thing, Scotty.

Final poll in 2008: O +4
Reality: O +9

You realize this isn't 2008, right?

You realize this is Rasmussen, right?  More seriously, this is considerably more Republican than other recent polls and I think the next closest is a R+1 poll from We Ask America who I trust even less than Rasmussen.

Once again.  Party ID is fluid.  It doesn't mean anything.  It likely means with Rasmussen's methodology they are prone to finding more independents who will identify with Republicans at the time.  The reason they are so skewed towards the GOP is that their methods are horribly outdated, yet never readjusted. 

I was referring to Romney +1, not Republican +1.  I leave the scrutinizing of Party ID tea leaves to others.

[Person Man]

Well, RCP seems to be the most accurate at this point with Romney leading by half a point and leading Colorado by quarter of a point and Ohio deciding the election for Obama.

[pepper11]

Romneymentum! Obama is toast!