UT-Utah State University: Romney by 53
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Author Topic: UT-Utah State University: Romney by 53  (Read 1093 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: October 18, 2012, 11:55:59 PM »
"small sample size" poll, 7.6% margin of error, conducted by students:

Romney 74%, Obama 21%

Methodological notes

Results are based on telephone interviews conducted by students at Utah State University as part of a class assignment Oct. 8-13, 2012. The survey was conducted from a random sample of individuals drawn from the state’s voter file. The sample is weighted by factors such as the probability of voting, party registration and age so the sample of respondents will reflect the population of likely voters. The margin of error means that one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is +/- 7.6%. The reported margins of error include the sampling design effects and incorporate the weights to adjust for non-response, but the margin of error due to sampling reported with this poll, as with all polls reported in the media, does not entirely account for other possible sources of error including coverage error and nonresponse.

http://utahdatapoints.com/2012/10/usu-pre-election-poll
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #1 on: October 18, 2012, 11:59:08 PM »
LOL

The margin here will be historic.
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Mad Deadly Worldwide Communist Gangster Computer God
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #2 on: October 19, 2012, 12:01:01 AM »
Still not counting out Anderson just yet.
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5280
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« Reply #3 on: October 19, 2012, 12:08:30 AM »
THat's really high for Romney.
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NVGonzalez
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« Reply #4 on: October 19, 2012, 12:12:30 AM »
Toss up Tongue
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #5 on: October 19, 2012, 12:12:36 AM »
I wouldn't be surprised though if the actual result is something like:

74% Romney
20% Obama
  5% Anderson
  1% Others
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greenforest32
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« Reply #6 on: October 19, 2012, 12:47:29 AM »
Such a horrible state electorate.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #7 on: October 19, 2012, 01:27:48 AM »
Is Utah getting an exit poll?
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Miles
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« Reply #8 on: October 19, 2012, 01:29:17 AM »
Doesn't bode well for Matheson.
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morgieb
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« Reply #9 on: October 19, 2012, 03:21:21 AM »
While Romney will win by Bush-esque margins, 53 points? That's too much.
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Vern
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« Reply #10 on: October 19, 2012, 06:33:08 AM »
Quote from: Binders full of Women morgieb on October 19, 2012, 03:21:21 AM
While Romney will win by Bush-esque margins, 53 points? That's too much.

No, not really.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #11 on: October 19, 2012, 06:34:54 AM »
Let him have it. It's 6 electoral votes and it doesn't matter whether Romney gets 51% or 81%.
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Mister Twister
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« Reply #12 on: October 19, 2012, 06:35:52 AM »

There is no way Matheso survives
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dirks
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« Reply #13 on: October 19, 2012, 08:07:53 AM »
LOL...honestly why did they even waste a cent polling here?

I think Romney will hold Obama to under 20%
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #14 on: October 19, 2012, 08:59:26 AM »

doesn't everyone?
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RI
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« Reply #15 on: October 19, 2012, 09:02:00 AM »

No.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #16 on: October 19, 2012, 01:04:28 PM »

Not this year. Several states won't get them.
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cinyc
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« Reply #17 on: October 19, 2012, 01:10:19 PM »

Coattails are overrated.
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SUSAN CRUSHBONE
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« Reply #18 on: October 19, 2012, 02:11:32 PM »
My numbers: Obama/romney 48.8/46.1 these are acurate and not wishful thinking
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Maxwell
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« Reply #19 on: October 19, 2012, 03:14:32 PM »
Lean Anderson.
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SPC
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« Reply #20 on: October 19, 2012, 03:15:47 PM »
Will Utah's 2012 trend beat Hawaii's 2008 trend in magnitude?
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Maxwell
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« Reply #21 on: October 19, 2012, 06:30:46 PM »
Quote from: SPC on October 19, 2012, 03:15:47 PM
Will Utah's 2012 trend beat Hawaii's 2008 trend in magnitude?


IDK, considering Kerry almost lost Hawaii, and while McCain certainly didn't do great in Utah, he did pull over 60.
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memphis
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« Reply #22 on: October 19, 2012, 08:25:09 PM »
Bryan won Utah by 65% in 1896.
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