WA: Public Policy Polling: Obama down to only a five point lead?
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Author Topic: WA: Public Policy Polling: Obama down to only a five point lead?  (Read 2983 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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« on: October 17, 2012, 06:33:51 PM »
New Poll: Washington President by Public Policy Polling on 2012-10-16

Summary: D: 50%, R: 45%, I: 0%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2012, 06:37:06 PM »
Hmmm....something seems a bit suspicious about parts of the crosstabs....there's no way that Obama is doing better with men than women, right? Can someone run some comparisons to previous polls?
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krazen1211
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« Reply #2 on: October 17, 2012, 06:37:17 PM »
Wow. White flight has reached the pacific northwest!
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #3 on: October 17, 2012, 06:38:54 PM »
Bollocks.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #4 on: October 17, 2012, 06:39:48 PM »
Good gracious!
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J. J.
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« Reply #5 on: October 17, 2012, 06:40:35 PM »
It could be an outlier, but I can believe Obama is losing the female vote. 
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #6 on: October 17, 2012, 06:40:45 PM »
Probably an outlier. Rasmussen released a poll from here today too. He had it at Obama +13.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #7 on: October 17, 2012, 06:41:06 PM »

C'mon, you don't actually buy this?
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #8 on: October 17, 2012, 06:42:15 PM »
I can see Romney getting 45%, but Obama will be at a lot more than 50%.
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sobo
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« Reply #9 on: October 17, 2012, 06:46:44 PM »
This is pretty obviously an outlier. Remember, even with perfectly done polls 1 in 20 will fall outside of the MoE.
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Mister Twister
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« Reply #10 on: October 17, 2012, 06:55:11 PM »
PPP does this. They release Republican skewed polls so they look like they don't have a bias or house effect. They did the same thing in New Mexico.
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The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #11 on: October 17, 2012, 06:59:14 PM »
Quote from: krazen1211 on October 17, 2012, 06:37:17 PM
Wow. White flight has reached the pacific northwest!
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #12 on: October 17, 2012, 07:04:55 PM »
lol I highly doubt Obama is only leading among nonwhite voters by 20%.
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LastVoter
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« Reply #13 on: October 17, 2012, 07:08:11 PM »
All these racist Californians!
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #14 on: October 17, 2012, 07:32:05 PM »
Yea, let's move WA into the tossup category. 

Ras has it at O+13
Survey USA at +14
YouGov at +17

where is Obama losing women but winning men exactly?  I guess all the ladies want to have a cozy spot in Mitten's binder. 



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Oakvale
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« Reply #15 on: October 17, 2012, 07:52:14 PM »
THE DELUGE
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Seattle
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« Reply #16 on: October 17, 2012, 07:55:06 PM »
Also, this shows Inslee leading by more than Obama. Yeah, uh-huh.
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Vosem
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« Reply #17 on: October 17, 2012, 07:56:27 PM »
Would love to see Oregon...while this is wrong, I would not be surprised if Oregon were a sub-5-point race, though I doubt it.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #18 on: October 17, 2012, 08:07:33 PM »
Quote from: Vosem on October 17, 2012, 07:56:27 PM
Would love to see Oregon...while this is wrong, I would not be surprised if Oregon were a sub-5-point race, though I doubt it.

That was... confusing.
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LiberalJunkie
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« Reply #19 on: October 17, 2012, 08:50:39 PM »
Quote from: J. J. on October 17, 2012, 06:40:35 PM
It could be an outlier, but I can believe Obama is losing the female vote. 

No he's not.
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #20 on: October 17, 2012, 08:52:20 PM »
Nah, this isn't accurate. We should probably adjust for the Dem house effect.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #21 on: October 17, 2012, 08:54:40 PM »
I expect that Republican will now put Washington on Romney's path to 270.

This does not fit with other recent polls at all, so it's reasonable to say that this is an outlier.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #22 on: October 17, 2012, 09:00:26 PM »
Quote from: krazen1211 on October 17, 2012, 06:37:17 PM
Wow. White flight has reached the pacific northwest!

This racist loser is further proof that the DOJ would be 100% justified in imposing Reconstruction, Part 2.
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LiberalJunkie
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« Reply #23 on: October 17, 2012, 09:01:19 PM »
Quote from: Invisible Obama on October 17, 2012, 08:54:40 PM
I expect that Republican will now put Washington on Romney's path to 270.

This does not fit with other recent polls at all, so it's reasonable to say that this is an outlier.

Yep. Now Dick Morris will say Romney will win all the Swing states with Michigan, Pennsylvania, Washington and Oregon and maybe Connecticut LOL.
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J. J.
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« Reply #24 on: October 17, 2012, 09:21:50 PM »
Quote from: Invisible Obama on October 17, 2012, 08:54:40 PM
I expect that Republican will now put Washington on Romney's path to 270.

This does not fit with other recent polls at all, so it's reasonable to say that this is an outlier.

No, if he wins WA, well be talking about 370.  I tend to think this is is an outlier.
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