Jon Ralston: Nevada is Lean Obama, despite what polls might say
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  Jon Ralston: Nevada is Lean Obama, despite what polls might say		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Jon Ralston: Nevada is Lean Obama, despite what polls might say  (Read 565 times)
Lief 🗽
Lief
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« on: October 15, 2012, 05:26:58 PM »
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http://www.ralstonreports.com/blog/why-most-polls-done-nevada-are-garbage#.UHyLc_k5y5J
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NVGonzalez
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« Reply #1 on: October 15, 2012, 05:45:44 PM »
I believe him.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #2 on: October 15, 2012, 05:56:14 PM »
Ralston is the best guy in the state to speculate on the outcome. His words should carry a lot of weight in regards to where the state currently stands.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #3 on: October 15, 2012, 06:03:56 PM »
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: October 15, 2012, 06:08:38 PM »
Without NV and assuming WI is also trending D, then Romneys only path is still through OH.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: October 15, 2012, 07:34:07 PM »
Quote from: Malarkey Voter on October 15, 2012, 06:08:38 PM
Without NV and assuming WI is also trending D, then Romneys only path is still through OH.

At the end of the day, it is pretty tough to see Obama losing states he carried by 12.5% and 13.9% respectively, even if there is a big drop for him in both.
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dspNY
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« Reply #6 on: October 15, 2012, 07:48:37 PM »
D's have a 7% party registration advantage in Nevada, if the numbers I saw today are correct, so that is a major structural disadvantage to Romney (more so in a smaller state like NV than OH or FL, where it's D+3 or D+4 and the GOP can make it up)
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