NYT/CBS/Quinnipiac: Obama retains small leads in VA, WI, Romney+1 in CO
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  NYT/CBS/Quinnipiac: Obama retains small leads in VA, WI, Romney+1 in CO
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Author Topic: NYT/CBS/Quinnipiac: Obama retains small leads in VA, WI, Romney+1 in CO  (Read 2758 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: October 11, 2012, 12:22:08 AM »

VIRGINIA:

51-46 Obama

WISCONSIN:

50-47 Obama

COLORADO:

48-47 Romney

This poll was conducted by telephone from Quinnipiac University’s interviewing facility October 4-9, 2012.The number of likely voters interviewed in each state is 1,254 in Colorado, 1,288 in Virginia and 1,327 inWisconsin. In all three states, phone numbers were dialed from samples of both standard land-line and cellphones. The error due to sampling for results based on the sample in each state could be plus or minusthree percentage points in Colorado, Virginia, and in Wisconsin. The error for subgroups may be higher.This poll release conforms to the Standards of Disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.

http://de.scribd.com/doc/109657567/Quinn-10-11-CO-VA-WI
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #1 on: October 11, 2012, 12:22:55 AM »

That's a decent set of polls...
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #2 on: October 11, 2012, 12:23:33 AM »

Very nice! Now Obama and Biden just need to do well at the next two debates and I think Obama is back to being the favorite.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #3 on: October 11, 2012, 12:23:46 AM »

But, but, but Suffolk dude told us Romney was running away in VA ... Tongue
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Simfan34
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« Reply #4 on: October 11, 2012, 12:24:37 AM »
« Edited: October 11, 2012, 01:29:38 AM by ስምፋን፫፬ »

If I were a Democrat, I would be concerned about the shrinking margin in WI.
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TrapperHawk
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« Reply #5 on: October 11, 2012, 12:25:39 AM »

I'm very pleasantly surprised by the Virginia numbers. +5? Hell yes, I'll take that. Wisconsin's not too bad either. At least the President is at 50 percent. All and all, not a bad polling night for the President. I like it.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #6 on: October 11, 2012, 12:26:37 AM »

If I was a Democrat, I would be concerned about the shrinking margin in WI.

WI has been VERY skittish this year... it's been reacting disproportionately to events... remember the 14/11/14% Obama leads a few weeks ago?
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #7 on: October 11, 2012, 12:27:05 AM »

Ugh, the marijuana initiative in Colorado is apparently losing. Sad
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Reds4
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« Reply #8 on: October 11, 2012, 12:27:40 AM »

Man... here comes the major poll dump.. I assume all day Thursday we will get tons of polls.. I like it!
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Mad Deadly Worldwide Communist Gangster Computer God
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« Reply #9 on: October 11, 2012, 12:29:50 AM »

Ugh, the marijuana initiative in Colorado is apparently losing. Sad

By one point.  It still has a chance.
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LastVoter
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« Reply #10 on: October 11, 2012, 12:47:43 AM »

Further proof that this election is about racism, VA has a better margin than WI only for that reason.
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Devils30
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« Reply #11 on: October 11, 2012, 12:49:10 AM »

For some reason Quinnipiac always has Obama doing worse in Colorado than other pollsters. Even Rasmussen had him up 1 there. Dems tend to exceed polling margins there though.
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« Reply #12 on: October 11, 2012, 12:49:58 AM »

Ugh, the marijuana initiative in Colorado is apparently losing. Sad
That sucks...
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NVGonzalez
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« Reply #13 on: October 11, 2012, 12:50:32 AM »

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J. J.
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« Reply #14 on: October 11, 2012, 12:57:16 AM »

Quinnipiac is very good in New England, NY, and NJ.  I'm less convinced outside of that area.  It's probably better than most Uni polls, but I'd rather have a professional pollster.
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Reds4
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« Reply #15 on: October 11, 2012, 01:02:48 AM »

Hard to believe that Romney would do better in Wisconsin than in Virginia... and 6 points better in CO than VA... one of them has to be off.. not sure which.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #16 on: October 11, 2012, 01:04:27 AM »

Hard to believe that Romney would do better in Wisconsin than in Virginia... and 6 points better in CO than VA... one of them has to be off.. not sure which.

As I've said this year, WI has experienced some 'consistently' wild swings... VA's been relatively stable.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #17 on: October 11, 2012, 01:10:16 AM »

New Poll: Virginia President by Quinnipiac University on 2012-10-10

Summary: D: 51%, R: 46%, I: 1%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #18 on: October 11, 2012, 01:10:16 AM »

New Poll: Wisconsin President by Quinnipiac University on 2012-10-10

Summary: D: 50%, R: 47%, I: 0%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #19 on: October 11, 2012, 01:10:16 AM »

New Poll: Colorado President by Quinnipiac University on 2012-10-10

Summary: D: 47%, R: 48%, I: 2%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Chaddyr23
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« Reply #20 on: October 11, 2012, 01:19:17 AM »

Okay nice to see that VA is still favored for Obama, whatever lead Romney does have in some polls is small compared to Obama's. So VA goes for the President in the end.
WI is something else. +3 for Obama?! I guess that's what happens when the electorate that gave Scott Walker more votes than they gave McCain are enthusiastic to vote again.
Colorado?! Idk, that state does tend to swing away from the incumbent though.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #21 on: October 11, 2012, 01:25:20 AM »
« Edited: October 11, 2012, 01:29:04 AM by Skill and Chance »

Okay nice to see that VA is still favored for Obama, whatever lead Romney does have in some polls is small compared to Obama's. So VA goes for the President in the end.
WI is something else. +3 for Obama?! I guess that's what happens when the electorate that gave Scott Walker more votes than they gave McCain are enthusiastic to vote again.
Colorado?! Idk, that state does tend to swing away from the incumbent though.

Romney being Western matters a lot more than a lot of people realized.  Regarding VA, McCain had several unique advantages for that state that Romney does not.  Most significant is the Navy connection.  McCain outperformed generic 2000-09 R in some of the VA beach suburbs.  That won't be happening again, and Appalachia should also tighten.  Romney will gain over McCain in  NOVA, though.   

PS: McCain is very underrated.  Holding the challenger under 55% in that economic environment was seriously impressive.
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Simfan34
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« Reply #22 on: October 11, 2012, 01:29:58 AM »

p.s. - I caught my error in that one post.
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Chaddyr23
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« Reply #23 on: October 11, 2012, 02:20:54 AM »

Okay nice to see that VA is still favored for Obama, whatever lead Romney does have in some polls is small compared to Obama's. So VA goes for the President in the end.
WI is something else. +3 for Obama?! I guess that's what happens when the electorate that gave Scott Walker more votes than they gave McCain are enthusiastic to vote again.
Colorado?! Idk, that state does tend to swing away from the incumbent though.

Romney being Western matters a lot more than a lot of people realized.  Regarding VA, McCain had several unique advantages for that state that Romney does not.  Most significant is the Navy connection.  McCain outperformed generic 2000-09 R in some of the VA beach suburbs.  That won't be happening again, and Appalachia should also tighten.  Romney will gain over McCain in  NOVA, though.   

PS: McCain is very underrated.  Holding the challenger under 55% in that economic environment was seriously impressive.

Romney's Western!?
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MagneticFree
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« Reply #24 on: October 11, 2012, 02:30:12 AM »

Okay nice to see that VA is still favored for Obama, whatever lead Romney does have in some polls is small compared to Obama's. So VA goes for the President in the end.
WI is something else. +3 for Obama?! I guess that's what happens when the electorate that gave Scott Walker more votes than they gave McCain are enthusiastic to vote again.
Colorado?! Idk, that state does tend to swing away from the incumbent though.

Romney being Western matters a lot more than a lot of people realized.  Regarding VA, McCain had several unique advantages for that state that Romney does not.  Most significant is the Navy connection.  McCain outperformed generic 2000-09 R in some of the VA beach suburbs.  That won't be happening again, and Appalachia should also tighten.  Romney will gain over McCain in  NOVA, though.   

PS: McCain is very underrated.  Holding the challenger under 55% in that economic environment was seriously impressive.

Romney's Western!?
This is the closest thing you'll get to western Romney.
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