Pew apparently has Romney leading Obama 49-45.

[Skill and Chance]

Wait, so will Republicans suddenly love Pew now (after complaining endlessly about how those polls that showed Obama up by 8 and 10 points respectively were clearly bogus)?

Yep, and now Dems get to cling to Gallup and Rasmussen and complain about the R+5(!) party ID in Pew.

[Skill and Chance]

I think they've been a little sensitive to the enthusiasm question...

This.

Today's reality should be somewhere between a tie and Obama+2 with the important variable being turnout.

[Skill and Chance]

You know what's funny about a question in this poll, it asks "Who Would Help the Middle Class?", and in the past month, Romney has surged 8 points on that question. And you know who's driving that surge? Upper Income Americans who 47% said he did last month, and now 68% do now.

47%, eh?

I just realized the irony. That's beautiful.

Sometimes when that commercial comes on and you aren't looking at the emotionalistic pictures on the screen it sounds like a pro Romney ad.  It really doesn't make sense to keep hammering it because the more you hear it, the better it sounds for Romney.   

Huh? Do you really think the message that elderly people, disabled people and students need to pay more taxes/are free-riding is a winning one outside of Tea Party circles?