Pew apparently has Romney leading Obama 49-45.

[Oakvale]

Link.

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Seems to contradict everything we've been seeing otherwise but let the freak out commence.

EDIT: It's possible that this is just a result of Pew finally unskewing their polls.

[Oakvale]

Wait, so will Republicans suddenly love Pew now (after complaining endlessly about how those polls that showed Obama up by 8 and 10 points respectively were clearly bogus)?

I don't know much about Pew, are they a bad pollster? I mean, that Obama +8 was a bit much but this seems to imply Romney got a 12-point swing that didn't show up in any other polls.

I guess it's possible that Romney led by some ridiculous margin on Friday alone.

More Republicans sampled here than a Rasmussen poll! I guess you cant discount it but it seems like an outlier.

Not Party ID, please, god, no.

[Oakvale]

My gut feeling is that Romney had insane leads on Friday and Saturday, but they faded, which is why we don't say Romney +8 or whatever on Rasmussen. PPP will probably have Romney ahead nationally too.

[Oakvale]

That's the Romney Style.

What? full of s***?

Basic thing is, it's been clearly a sign of a dodgy poll when Romney is close to Obama among women... it's not going to happen.

Presumably people who responded to the poll did not want to acknowledge voting for a chump who got his rear kicked repeatedly. Shrug.

That might actually be true, and might explain the bizarre 12-point (!) swing.

[Oakvale]

^ Yeah, the internals pretty much erase any worries I had about this.

I mean, look at this. 2/3 of respondents over 50? Am I misreading this?

[Oakvale]

I've sent this poll in to be reskewed.