FL-18: Public Opinion Strategies (R): West up 11
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Author Topic: FL-18: Public Opinion Strategies (R): West up 11  (Read 624 times)
Miles
MilesC56
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« on: September 27, 2012, 02:42:56 PM »
Article.


West (R)- 52%
Murphy (D)- 41%

Romney is leading 51-44 in the district; this looks a bit suspect because Obama carried it 51-48 and he's currently generally matching (or exceeding) his 2008 statewide margin in the polls currently.
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mondale84
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« Reply #1 on: September 27, 2012, 03:23:38 PM »
Quote from: MilesC56 on September 27, 2012, 02:42:56 PM
Article.


West (R)- 52%
Murphy (D)- 41%

Romney is leading 51-44 in the district; this looks a bit suspect because Obama carried it 51-48 and he's currently generally matching (or exceeding) his 2008 statewide margin in the polls currently.

...it is POS though...
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #2 on: September 27, 2012, 03:25:12 PM »
West might very well win, but it won't be by 11 points.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #3 on: September 27, 2012, 03:29:52 PM »
6 point internal adjustment from this poll and patrick murphy's poll puts them roughly at where the neutral poll was.
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Vosem
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« Reply #4 on: September 27, 2012, 07:50:47 PM »
West is probably ahead, but probably only by a few percentage points (certainly not 11).
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morgieb
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« Reply #5 on: September 27, 2012, 08:35:38 PM »
Yeah I don't trust this poll.
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Zioneer
PioneerProgress
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« Reply #6 on: September 27, 2012, 08:51:09 PM »
Junk poll; West might have moved into a Republican-leaning district, but he's not ahead by that much.
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Atlas Has Shrugged
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« Reply #7 on: September 27, 2012, 09:01:09 PM »
I think West will only survive by a margin of 5 points. The district is Republican, but his carpetbagging will hurt him. If he runs not only against Murphy, but against Obama (which he has done somewhat) he sould be able to cling on.
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