Predict the final RCP average on Election Day.
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Author Topic: Predict the final RCP average on Election Day.  (Read 1474 times)
Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
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« on: September 26, 2012, 02:04:15 PM »
« edited: September 26, 2012, 02:05:47 PM by Bane »
Assuming Romney flubs up big time at the debates and Obama trumps Romney.

Obama 58.2
Romney 42.4

Or Romney has a turn around....

Romney 52.6
Obama  47.2
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Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
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« Reply #1 on: September 26, 2012, 04:58:15 PM »
Oof, Obama +16? Nah, even in the best case scenario there just isn't enough room for Obama to get to 58.

I'll take a stab and say....

Obama 53.1%
Romney 45.9%
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Lambsbread
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« Reply #2 on: September 26, 2012, 05:02:57 PM »
The hack in me says:

Obama 51.6
Romney 47.7
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LiberalJunkie
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« Reply #3 on: September 26, 2012, 05:03:43 PM »
I never thought it would be possible but Obama has a chance to increase his Electoral vote or even PV margin of 2008.

Probably a 7.?% lead if this election continues like this.
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: September 26, 2012, 05:08:39 PM »
Obama 50.8
Romney 46.6
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King
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« Reply #5 on: September 26, 2012, 05:15:29 PM »
Obama's max is 55-44.
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JFK-Democrat
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« Reply #6 on: September 26, 2012, 05:27:02 PM »

I agree.
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Yelnoc
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« Reply #7 on: September 26, 2012, 05:33:04 PM »
I expect some Republican favorable polling agencies to emerge between now and then, so I'll say Obama +3.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
AHDuke99
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« Reply #8 on: September 26, 2012, 05:35:12 PM »
52-47. I still don't buy Obama beating his 2008 margins, although McCain was an immensely better candidate, and even he ran a bad campaign. Obama won't go any higher than 55% in his best case scenario though. 58-41 is just unrealistic.
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Rules for me, but not for thee
Dabeav
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« Reply #9 on: September 26, 2012, 05:38:03 PM »
Obama 54
Romney 41
Johnson 5
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #10 on: September 26, 2012, 05:40:06 PM »
Obama 52.9
Romney 44.3
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #11 on: September 26, 2012, 05:49:41 PM »
Obama 50.5
Romney 45.5
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Devils30
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« Reply #12 on: September 26, 2012, 06:13:34 PM »
Obama 51.6
Romney 46.3
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #13 on: September 26, 2012, 06:58:17 PM »
51 Obama
47 Romney
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #14 on: September 26, 2012, 07:30:40 PM »
If Nader can't even get 5% with more publicity/celebrity support, you sure as hell bet Johnson isn't either. At best, he diverts crucial votes away from Romney in CO and NV.

Obama 54.
Romney 45
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Frodo
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« Reply #15 on: September 26, 2012, 07:42:15 PM »
« Edited: September 26, 2012, 07:43:55 PM by Frodo »
avoiding decimals....

Obama: 53
Romney: 44
various independent/third party candidates: 3
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Earthling
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« Reply #16 on: September 27, 2012, 03:12:47 AM »
Obama - 49,6%

Romney - 47,5%
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morgieb
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« Reply #17 on: September 27, 2012, 03:24:24 AM »
Obama: 50
Romney: 47
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #18 on: September 27, 2012, 03:44:39 AM »
Obama: 53.5
Romney: 45.0
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #19 on: September 27, 2012, 04:03:02 AM »
My natural small 'c' conservative nature says Romney HAS to close toward the end of October...

Obama: 50.3%
Romney: 47.5%
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Spanish Moss
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« Reply #20 on: September 27, 2012, 05:19:35 AM »

I very highly doubt Johnson will get 5%.  As far as third parties go, I think it'll be approx Johnson 3%, Stein 2%, and all other third candidates combined getting like .01%
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opebo
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« Reply #21 on: September 27, 2012, 06:15:55 AM »
53-44
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #22 on: September 27, 2012, 07:29:38 AM »

You know things are looking bad for Romney when even opebo is predicting a blowout victory for Obama.
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #23 on: September 27, 2012, 07:34:43 AM »
Obama - 51.5%
Romney - 47.2%
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Peeperkorn
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« Reply #24 on: September 27, 2012, 09:05:49 AM »
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