UT-04: Love leads by 15 in internal

[krazen1211]

@RobertGehrke: .@MiaBlove campaign internal poll says she is up 51-36. #utpol

@RobertGehrke: Love's pollster Public Opinion Strategies, conducted the poll Sept. 10-11. Shows it has flipped from 13-point Matheson lead in July. #utpol

@RobertGehrke: Pollster says Matheson's favorable has slipped and his re-elect dropped from 51 to 39. Also, Romney leads Obama in 4th, 73-25. #utpol

[Lief 🗽]

what, no...

[Miles]

The 4th was 6% less Democratic than the state in 2008; for Romney to be at 73% there means he would be pushing 80% statewide.

[Zioneer]

Funniest thing I've seen all day. Junk poll like none other. Matheson has lead by double-digits in every single poll so far. No way Love has flipped that.

[morgieb]

lol internal.

[Talleyrand]

I actually think this is more plausible than a Matheson double digit lead. This is a heavily Republican district in a heavily Republican state which has an immense fondness for Mitt Romney, plus Jim Matheson is unfamiliar to much of the district. With a well-funded, charismatic, and popular candidate like Love and massive Romney coattails, Matheson will be lucky to keep this in the single digits, let alone win.

[Holmes]

We'll just have to wait and see.

[Zioneer]

I actually think this is more plausible than a Matheson double digit lead. This is a heavily Republican district in a heavily Republican state which has an immense fondness for Mitt Romney, plus Jim Matheson is unfamiliar to much of the district. With a well-funded, charismatic, and popular candidate like Love and massive Romney coattails, Matheson will be lucky to keep this in the single digits, let alone win.

Well, Matheson is himself popular, and he's managed to portray Love as an extremist who will gut programs Utahns like. Plus, he's got a hefty warchest, and he's known to most of Utah by this point.

And again, all the polls thus far besides this internal have said that he's easily winning.

[DrScholl]

No. If anything, this is for pushing up donations. The presidential top line is very inflated, the Mormon vote is maxed out and the non-Mormon votes leans Democratic. Non-Mormons don't have any special attachment to Romney.

[Zioneer]

No. If anything, this is for pushing up donations. The presidential top line is very inflated, the Mormon vote is maxed out and the non-Mormon votes leans Democratic. Non-Mormons don't have any special attachment to Romney.

We have a winner/winning comment! It's pretty transparently about donations; no Utah news source has treated the internal seriously, not even the Utahn Fox affiliate.

[Mister Twister]

Mia Love could very well win. The RNC helped her become a top-tier candidate, this district isn't as friendly to Mattheson as it was in years past and the black mormon woman thing adds a level of mystique that will appeal to independents in this district.

[Niemeyerite]

Krazen, my dear friend!! You've managed to find a poll where the republican is leading, even if it's an internal I'm glad you still have some threads to post in. I hope some pollster releases a poll from Wyoming, Nebraska or Mississippi, where your candidates are leading, so you cant post something!