Wisconsin -- Marquette Law poll has Obama +14
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 28, 2024, 09:46:48 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Wisconsin -- Marquette Law poll has Obama +14
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2]
Author Topic: Wisconsin -- Marquette Law poll has Obama +14  (Read 2262 times)
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,494
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: September 19, 2012, 04:10:04 PM »

The average is much more important:

PPP: Obama+1
Quinnipiac: Obama+6
Marquette: Obama+14

So, Obama+7 on average.

With a new Marist/NBC poll coming tomorrow for Wisconsin.

Plus, PPP is polling there yet again and it sounds like their new poll will show a much more decisive lead for Obama.
Logged
SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,003
Latvia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: September 19, 2012, 05:08:32 PM »

So Wisconsin rejoins neighbors Michigan and Minnesota in the Lean/Likely Obama category?
Logged
Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,804
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -9.04

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #27 on: September 19, 2012, 06:29:41 PM »

Far-superior Marquette Law polls. Krazen, any comments about this? Don't worry, you can say it's an outlier, because it is, actually.
Logged
Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,011
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: -2.78

P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #28 on: September 20, 2012, 04:57:22 AM »

Even the best of pollsters can produce outliers -- this being an example.

Rather, even the best of pollsters MUST produce outliers... it's a statistical requirement.  If you produce so many polls, a certain percent of them will be outliers.
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #29 on: September 20, 2012, 08:34:06 AM »

Even the best of pollsters can produce outliers -- this being an example.

Rather, even the best of pollsters MUST produce outliers... it's a statistical requirement.  If you produce so many polls, a certain percent of them will be outliers.

1 in 20, by most standards.
Logged
Pages: 1 [2]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.21 seconds with 14 queries.