OR: Survey USA: Obama with Lead in Oregon

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: Oregon President by Survey USA on 2012-09-16

Summary: D: 50%, R: 41%, I: 5%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Umengus]

New Poll: Oregon President by Survey USA on 2012-09-16

Summary: D: 50%, R: 41%, I: 5%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

Obama won by 16 in 2008... So +9 now is quite probable.

[J. J.]

New Poll: Oregon President by Survey USA on 2012-09-16

Summary: D: 50%, R: 41%, I: 5%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

Obama won by 16 in 2008... So +9 now is quite probable.

I'm not thrilled with the pollster, but I would expect this result.

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

New Poll: Oregon President by Survey USA on 2012-09-16

Summary: D: 50%, R: 41%, I: 5%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

Obama won by 16 in 2008... So +9 now is quite probable.

I'm not thrilled with the pollster, but I would expect this result.

Agreed. Oregon is one of the few states where Mitt Romney is not a total disaster.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

I figure SurveyUSA's polls are typically about 7 points off from the rest. Obama's doing about as well as he did last time.

[Tender Branson]

So, here it is, that missing Oregon poll ...

[mondale84]

I figure SurveyUSA's polls are typically about 7 points off from the rest. Obama's doing about as well as he did last time.

I agree. But I just add a standard 5 points to Obama's margin in every SUSA poll, 7 in every Rassy poll, 2-4 in every PPP poll, and usually about 8-10 in all Republican internals.

[Umengus]

New Poll: Oregon President by Survey USA on 2012-09-16

Summary: D: 50%, R: 41%, I: 5%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

Obama won by 16 in 2008... So +9 now is quite probable.

I'm not thrilled with the pollster, but I would expect this result.

Agreed. Oregon is one of the few states where Mitt Romney is not a total disaster.

like colorado, Wisconsin, Florida,...

[mondale84]

New Poll: Oregon President by Survey USA on 2012-09-16

Summary: D: 50%, R: 41%, I: 5%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

Obama won by 16 in 2008... So +9 now is quite probable.

I'm not thrilled with the pollster, but I would expect this result.

Agreed. Oregon is one of the few states where Mitt Romney is not a total disaster.

like colorado, Wisconsin, Florida,...

LOL

Have you seen recent, non-hack, polls?

[Vosem]

New Poll: Oregon President by Survey USA on 2012-09-16

Summary: D: 50%, R: 41%, I: 5%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

Obama won by 16 in 2008... So +9 now is quite probable.

I'm not thrilled with the pollster, but I would expect this result.

Agreed. Oregon is one of the few states where Mitt Romney is not a total disaster.

like colorado, Wisconsin, Florida,...

LOL

Have you seen recent, non-hack, polls?

That would be a question I'd very much like to ask you...

[J. J.]

I figure SurveyUSA's polls are typically about 7 points off from the rest. Obama's doing about as well as he did last time.

I agree. But I just add a standard 5 points to Obama's margin in every SUSA poll, 7 in every Rassy poll, 2-4 in every PPP poll, and usually about 8-10 in all Republican internals.

That's a bit like adding a few extra zeros to the amount on a check someone else wrote.

Survey USA isn't all too good of a pollster, but you seem to think that all polls have a huge GOP bias.

[greenforest32]

The 16 point win in 2008 was a peak I don't think you'll see too often here.

It does look like the Oregon marijuana legalization initiative is the most likely to fail of the three and the way they asked about Measure 85 (abolishing the corporate tax kicker) was pretty much worthless as they didn't specify what exactly the measure would do. Oh well