MT: Rasmussen: Rehberg holds modest lead

[Miles]

New Poll: Montana Senator by Rasmussen on 2012-8-20

Summary: D: 43%, R: 47%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Talleyrand]

Because I think all Rasmussen polls are trash, I don't think this needs to be analyzed. BTW, are there any good Montana pollsters that we haven't heard from yet? I'd like to get a fresh look at this race from a source not named PPP or Rasmussen.

[Svensson]

Because I think all Rasmussen polls are trash,

Because it's not like Rasmussen has ever been right ever.

[RogueBeaver]

We need a PPP poll in here. Last few polls have shown Rehberg with a small lead, so this is somewhat plausible.

[Talleyrand]

Because I think all Rasmussen polls are trash,

Because it's not like Rasmussen has ever been right ever.

Getting the winner correct doesn't mean it's not a trash poll.

[Svensson]

Getting the winner correct doesn't mean it's not a trash poll.

...wow.

I have no words.

[Vosem]

Because I think all Rasmussen polls are trash,

Because it's not like Rasmussen has ever been right ever.

Getting the winner correct doesn't mean it's not a trash poll.

Polls should be judged based on their adherence to the Democratic Party line (or whatever other line you want; I assume, since your name is TexasDemocrat), not based on any sort of facts.

[Miles]

Because I think all Rasmussen polls are trash,

Because it's not like Rasmussen has ever been right ever.

I'm a huge Rasmussen critic, but their polling this year doesn't seem as questionable as it was in 2010.

[Talleyrand]

I'm very skeptical of any of their polls, even if they are Dem-leaning. And I don't think "polls should be judged based on their adherence to the Democratic Party line". I'm also not very trusting of PPP polls either.

And what facts are those you speak of anyway?

@Governor Townsend: What I meant was that getting the winner correctly doesn't mean a poll is accurate. And Rasmussen's wild house effect and swings continue to show that. A poll that shows the losing candidate up by 3 is much better than one that shows them down 8, if the actual results are within one percent for example. While Rasmussen has gotten a few correct, their polling is just terrible. I suppose I shouldn't have used an absolute "all" when I said Rasmussen polls were trash.

[Negusa Nagast 🚀]

Because I think all Rasmussen polls are trash,

Because it's not like Rasmussen has ever been right ever.

I'm a huge Rasmussen critic, but their polling this year doesn't seem as questionable as it was in 2010.

Overall, they appear to be better, but there have been some notable outliers that look like he's still cooking the books on some. I don't think we'll see a Hawaiian poll that's off by 40 again though.

[cinyc]

Overall, they appear to be better, but there have been some notable outliers that look like he's still cooking the books on some. I don't think we'll see a Hawaiian poll that's off by 40 again though.

The odds of seeing another Hawaiian outlier poll is pretty high.  Haoles suck at polling Hawaii. 

[Vosem]

And what facts are those you speak of anyway?

Things like having gotten winners and margins correct in the past.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Seems about right.