Predict final maps
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Author Topic: Predict final maps  (Read 9228 times)
Devils30
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« on: August 12, 2012, 02:01:53 PM »



Obama 51.9%
Romney 46.6%

Close states:
NH: 53-46 Obama
PA: 54-45 Obama
VA: 52-46 Obama
FL: 51-48 Obama
NC: 50-49 Obama
CO: 53-46 Obama
NV: 54-44 Obama
AZ: 52-47 Romney
WI: 52-46 Obama
OH: 52-47 Obama
IA: 52-47 Obama
IN: 52-46 Romney
MO: 51-47 Romney
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Devils30
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« Reply #1 on: August 12, 2012, 02:03:57 PM »

Florida doesn't have a huge Obama move but he can win by the same margin there as 2008 while losing a couple points nationally.
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Rhodie
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« Reply #2 on: August 12, 2012, 02:07:16 PM »



Romney/Ryan: 206: 47.5%
Obama/Biden: 332: 51.0%

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California8429
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« Reply #3 on: August 12, 2012, 02:10:09 PM »



Romney/Ryan: 206: 47.5%
Obama/Biden: 332: 51.0%



^ Probably this, but I believe FL will go for Romney-Ryan.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #4 on: August 12, 2012, 02:17:23 PM »

Final Atlas Polling Map:


Results:

Romney wins, 282-256
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Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
Ray Goldfield
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« Reply #5 on: August 12, 2012, 02:26:22 PM »

Final Atlas Polling Map:


Results:

Romney wins, 282-256

This, except I believe Obama will win Wisconsin by about .5%. It's a tease state.

Ryan will be incredibly helpful in Iowa and Ohio, though.
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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
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« Reply #6 on: August 12, 2012, 02:54:04 PM »


Obama/Biden-332: 51.9
Romney/Ryan-206: 48.1

Closest States
FL:   50-49.1 Obama
CO:   50.1-48.5 Obama
IA:    51.2-48.8 Obama

NC:   48.5-50.8 Romney
VA:   50.8-48.3 Obama
OH:   52.2-47.8 Obama
NH:   52.4-47.6 Obama
WI:   52.8-47.2 Obama

NV:   52.9-46.8 Obama

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Donerail
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« Reply #7 on: August 12, 2012, 03:03:00 PM »

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Sasquatch
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« Reply #8 on: August 12, 2012, 03:36:01 PM »



Before the Paul Ryan pick, I would have gave Florida to Romney.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #9 on: August 12, 2012, 03:42:07 PM »




Strange things are about to happen in the polls -- and few to the benefit of the GOP Presidential ticket.

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America™
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« Reply #10 on: August 12, 2012, 03:52:14 PM »



Obama squeaks one out. Lowest turnout since 1996.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #11 on: August 12, 2012, 04:16:51 PM »




Strange things are about to happen in the polls -- and few to the benefit of the GOP Presidential ticket.



lol what?
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #12 on: August 12, 2012, 04:28:01 PM »



303 - 235

Bush2004ish PV split
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Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
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« Reply #13 on: August 12, 2012, 04:28:14 PM »



Obama/Biden-315
Romney/Ryan-223
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Lincoln Republican
Winfield
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« Reply #14 on: August 12, 2012, 04:50:19 PM »



Romney/Ryan                  271
Obama/Biden                  267
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #15 on: August 12, 2012, 04:53:02 PM »



Romney/Ryan                  271
Obama/Biden                  267

...Indiana?
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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
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« Reply #16 on: August 12, 2012, 04:57:18 PM »



Romney/Ryan                  271
Obama/Biden                  267
Winfield, you're either a complete or total idiot, or just plain high.
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morgieb
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« Reply #17 on: August 12, 2012, 05:21:24 PM »

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Lincoln Republican
Winfield
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« Reply #18 on: August 12, 2012, 05:27:08 PM »



Romney/Ryan              282
Obama/Biden              256

You're right, Romney takes Indiana as well.  Gives Romney a cushion.
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #19 on: August 12, 2012, 05:29:45 PM »

I don't know that there's any reason to assume anything changes in Ohio.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #20 on: August 12, 2012, 05:31:21 PM »

Something like this:

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Averroës Nix
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« Reply #21 on: August 12, 2012, 05:53:13 PM »
« Edited: August 12, 2012, 05:56:31 PM by Averroës Nix »



O 297 - R 241
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #22 on: August 12, 2012, 05:55:18 PM »

Nix, surely 'O 297'?
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Averroës Nix
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« Reply #23 on: August 12, 2012, 05:58:15 PM »


Oops, I transcribed the number from my confidence map, where I have CO and VA listed as toss-ups, instead of my prediction map.
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Svensson
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« Reply #24 on: August 12, 2012, 06:02:02 PM »



Obama/Biden: 269
Romney/Ryan: 269
Tongue
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