VA-Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing: Obama+4
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Author Topic: VA-Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing: Obama+4  (Read 790 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: August 05, 2012, 11:51:30 PM »
44% Obama
40% Romney

In the race for control of the U.S. Senate, a competitive competition has developed for the seat of retiring Senator Jim Webb. In the CapCorr/Gravis poll, Republican former Virginia Governor George Allen, who lost the same seat in 2006, is leading former Democratic Governor Tim Kaine by four points.

http://capitolcorrespondent.com/cc/2012/08/05/battleground-state-series-obama-up-in-virginia/
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Frodo
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« Reply #1 on: August 05, 2012, 11:56:16 PM »
So Virginians are splitting their votes -interesting.  Clearly the preference is for a Republican Congress and a Democratic White House. 
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #2 on: August 05, 2012, 11:57:07 PM »
Strange. I'd expect more Romney/Kaine voters (probably SW Virginia poor whites) than Obama/Allen voters (DC/Richmond suburbs?)
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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« Reply #3 on: August 05, 2012, 11:58:48 PM »
I doubt the Senate numbers very much.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #4 on: August 06, 2012, 12:00:31 AM »
Their previous polls included OH and FL: In Ohio, Obama led by 9 and in FL Romney was ahead "within the MoE" (without actually giving numbers).

http://capitolcorrespondent.com/cc/2012/07/24/battleground-state-series-obama-leads-in-ohio/

http://capitolcorrespondent.com/cc/2012/07/17/exclusive-poll-florida-too-close-to-call-in-pres-race/
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #5 on: August 06, 2012, 12:01:57 AM »
Quote from: Frodo on August 05, 2012, 11:56:16 PM
So Virginians are splitting their votes -interesting.  Clearly the preference is for a Republican Congress and a Democratic White House. 
Interesting, as historically speaking, it's the opposite.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #6 on: August 06, 2012, 12:03:57 AM »
I won't pretend to understand how an Obama/Allen voter could even exist. I'm sure a lot less people will bother to vote in the Senate race though, which will be mighty helpful ol' George.
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #7 on: August 06, 2012, 12:04:32 AM »
Hard to know whether or not to take this seriously with 16% up in the air.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #8 on: August 06, 2012, 12:08:14 AM »
I've also never heard of this pollster before and didn't find much about it on Google.

But they will poll another 6 swing states.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #9 on: August 06, 2012, 12:41:17 AM »
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lol
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krazen1211
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« Reply #10 on: August 06, 2012, 08:23:35 AM »
Quote from: Snowstalker on August 05, 2012, 11:57:07 PM
Strange. I'd expect more Romney/Kaine voters (probably SW Virginia poor whites) than Obama/Allen voters (DC/Richmond suburbs?)

That is an astonishing expectation given the large history of the opposite in these polls.

https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012/polls.php?fips=51
https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2012/polls.php?fips=51&class=1
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NVGonzalez
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« Reply #11 on: August 06, 2012, 01:39:47 PM »
Quote from: HagridOfTheDeep on August 06, 2012, 12:04:32 AM
Hard to know whether or not to take this seriously with 16% up in the air.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #12 on: August 09, 2012, 12:03:49 AM »
Their PA release:

45-41 Obama

http://capitolcorrespondent.com/cc/2012/08/08/poll-pa-another-dead-heat-but-obama-a-nicer-guy/
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The Mikado
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« Reply #13 on: August 09, 2012, 06:08:19 PM »
44-40 could mean literally anything.  The Undecided is way, way too big for this poll to tell us much of anything.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #14 on: August 09, 2012, 06:10:45 PM »
Quote from: Lief on August 06, 2012, 12:41:17 AM
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lol

Last week a BBC commentator at the Olympics proudly noted the existence of a 'momentous moment.'
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Craigo
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« Reply #15 on: August 09, 2012, 06:23:03 PM »
Quote from: The Mikado on August 09, 2012, 06:08:19 PM
44-40 could mean literally anything.  The Undecided is way, way too big for this poll to tell us much of anything.
.

Yeah, to get that result you'd have to not push the leaners at all.
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