Intrade:
Assad to no longer be Syrian president by Dec. 31, 2012: 53.9%
- too high, though I doubt he'll still be in power 2 or 3 years from nowUSA and/or Israel to launch air strike against Iran before Dec. 31, 2012: 25.9%
- too highRepublicans to win control of US Senate in 2012 elections: 51.8%
- about right Any country currently using Euro to announce intention to drop it by Dec. 31, 2013: 50.0%
- about rightAny country currently using Euro to announce intention to drop it by Dec. 31, 2014: 62.5%
- about rightPaddy Power:
Euro to no longer exist as an official currency in 2016: 20%
- too highNext Pope to come from South or Central America: 27%
- about rightBetfair:
don't know enough to intelligently commentLadbrokes:
Ed Milliband to be Labour leader at next UK general election: 75%
- don't knowAndrew Cuomo to be 2016 Democratic nominee for president: 7.7%
- too lowJoe Biden to be 2016 Democratic nominee for president: 9.1%
- about rightHillary Clinton to be 2016 Democratic nominee for president: 25.0%
- no way to say: if she runs it's basically hers, but there's no telling if she will or notHillary Clinton to be elected US president in 2016: 14.3%
- see previousJeb Bush to be elected US president in 2016: 4.8%
- too highMarco Rubio to be elected US president in 2016: 4.8%
- about rightSportsbet:
don't know enough to intelligently comment