How will Romney do among the following demographics?

[Vermin Supreme]

–Strippers
–9/11 truthers
–sport fans
–Teabaggers
–wears hoodies
–Occupy Wall Street protesters
–smokes weed
–Reagan Democrats
–Hipster Christians
–Buddhists
–Jews
–Scientologists
–owns PS3 and XBOX360
–Bob Marley fans
–Emo fans
–metalheads

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

What the hell are stripers? Do they paint horses to look like zebras or something?

But seriously, he loses all those groups except Tea Partiers, sports fans (vote the same as the national average), and maybe 360 owners (definitely not winning PS3 owners).

[Vermin Supreme]

What the hell are stripers? Do they paint horses to look like zebras or something?

But seriously, he loses all those groups except Tea Partiers, sports fans (vote the same as the national average), and maybe 360 owners (definitely not winning PS3 owners).

I meant strippers

[RogueBeaver]

Too bad RFK's (the forum member) no longer with us.

[Vermin Supreme]

Too bad RFK's (the forum member) no longer with us.

Who was this RFK guy your speeking of?

[RogueBeaver]

Too bad RFK's (the forum member) no longer with us.

Who was this RFK guy your speeking of?

Among other things, he was known for asking these sort of demographic questions and usually had pretty good answers.

[Torie]

Too bad RFK's (the forum member) no longer with us.

He got banned?  Too bad. He gave me an IQ of 167. 

[Bacon King]

Rounded to the nearest multiple of five to keep it simple, as a percentage of CVAP. Based off assumed demographic profiles, anecdotal experience, and a bit of guesswork.

Strippers: 30% Obama, 10% Romney, 5% third party, 55% not voting
9/11 truthers: 10% Obama, 5% Romney, 35% third party, 50% not voting
sport fans: 25% Obama, 30% Romney, 45% not voting
Teabaggers: 5% Obama, 70% Romney, 10% third party, 15% not voting
wears hoodies: 25% Obama, 15% Romney, 60% not voting
Occupy Wall Street protesters: 40% Obama, 5% Romney, 25% third party, 30% not voting
smokes weed: 20% Obama, 10% Romney, 10% third party, 60% not voting
Reagan Democrats: 35% Obama, 45% Romney, 20% not voting
Hipster Christians: 40% Obama, 20% Romney, 5% third party, 35% not voting
Buddhists: 20% Obama, 10% Romney, 5% third party, 65% not voting
Jews: 50% Obama, 30% Romney, 20% not voting
Scientologists: 35% Obama, 25% Romney, 40% not voting
owns PS3 and XBOX360 (as in, owns both of them?): 25% Obama, 15% Romney, 5% third party, 55% not voting
Bob Marley fans: 25% Obama, 10% Romney, 5% third party, 60% not voting
Emo fans: 30% Obama, 10% Romney, 60% not voting
metalheads: 25% Obama, 15% Romney, 5% third party, 55% not voting

[Vermin Supreme]

Strippers-10%
9/11 truthers-2%
sport fans-35%
Teabaggers-65%
wears hoddies-12%
Occupy Wall Street protesters-1%
smokes weed-5%
Reagan Democrats-40%
Hipster Christians-7%
Buddhists-5%
Jews-20%
Scientologists-25%
owns both a PS3 and XBOX360-20%
Bob Marley fans-15%
Emo fans-5%
metalheads-15%

[Vermin Supreme]

still waiting for BRTD analysis on the following groups

[angus]

–Strippers:  very well.  The man with the ten thousand dollar bet can probably spare lots of singles. 

–9/11 truthers:  not well.  They know who let the dogs out.

–sport fans:  exceedingly well, especially among auto racing fans, who will appreciate Romney's many cars.

–Teabaggers:  not so well.  Mormons can't have caffeine.

–wears hoodies:  anyone who wears hoodies probably doesn't like flip-flops.  not so well.

–Occupy Wall Street protesters:  not so well, since he'll have them arrested for blocking his buildings.

–smokes weed:  not very well.  The good news for Romney is that no one else win win their votes either, since they will very likely forget to vote on election day.

–Reagan Democrats:  Worst of all, since they're mostly rustbelt workers who lost their jobs when etch-a-sketch moved its manufacture to China.

–Hipster Christians:  probably not well.  Mormonism isn't one of the Hip flavors of Christianity.

–Buddhists:  His best group of all.  All things in moderation, right.

–Jews:  Romney likes cheese on his grits, and what Jew doesn't like dairy?

–Scientologists:  very well.  L. Ron Hubbard and W. Mitt Romney both go by their middle names.

–owns PS3 and XBOX360:  very well.  They'll see Santorum holding an Etch-a-Sketch and talking about Romney and they'll think, "hey, that dude Romney likes video games too."

–Bob Marley fans:  Rasta men will appreciate Romney's abstention from alcohol, so this could be good.

–Emo fans:  Not very well.  Romney smiles too much.

–metalheads:  Possibly very well since their ears are so damaged by the loud music that they can't hear Romney's constant contradictions.

[Kung Fu Kenny]

–Strippers - Doesn't matter
–9/11 truthers - Doesn't matter
–sport fans - Doesn't matter
–Teabaggers - In the general: 80% Primaries: 35%
–wears hoodies - Doesn't matter
–Occupy Wall Street protesters - 0%
–smokes weed - 15%
–Reagan Democrats - 30%
–Hipster Christians - 0% because BRTD won't vote for Romney
–Buddhists - 20%
–Jews - 40%
–Scientologists - Doesn't matter
–owns PS3 and XBOX360 - Doesn't matter
–Bob Marley fans - Doesn't matter
–Emo fans - Doesn't matter
–metalheads - Doesn't matter

[Mr. Morden]

–Scientologists

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bxsdLFv9fn8

[I'm JewCon in name only.]

–Strippers: 90% Their Pimp, 6% Obama, 4% Romney (Seriously though, Obama wins 75-25 against Mitt)
–9/11 truthers: 97% Write in Jesse Ventura, 3% Other
–sport fans: 48% Romney, 48% Obama, 4% Other
–Teabaggers: 78% Romney, Other 15%, 6% Obama
–wears hoodies: 53% Obama, 45% Romney, 2% Other
–Occupy Wall Street protesters: 80% Obama, 11% Other, 4% Romney
–smokes weed: 100% Fluffeetalks (He's a pro weed youtube star) or 100% stay home
–Reagan Democrats: 49% Obama, 40% Romney, 11% Other
–Hipster Christians: 85% Obama, 10% Romney, 5% Other
–Buddhists: 58% Obama, 39% Romney, 3% Other
–Jews: 55% Obama, 41% Romney, 4% Other
–Scientologists: 57% Obama, 39% Romney, 4% Other
–owns PS3 and XBOX360: 48% Romney, 46% Obama, 6% Other
–Bob Marley fans: 66% Obama, 30% Romney, 4% Other
–Emo fans: 100% Stay home
–metalheads: 57% Obama, 35% Romney, 8% Other

[Vermin Supreme]

I bet 9/11 truthers are going to vote third party 76% in 2012 with Obama getting 22% of the vote. Without counting Alex Jones and Ron Paul write ins of course.

[perdedor]

–Strippers - Obama 50%, Romney 45%, Other 5%
–9/11 truthers - Obama 15%, Romney 10%, Other 75%
–sport fans - Obama 40%, Romney 54%, Other 6%
–Teabaggers - Obama 4%, Romney 75% ,Other 21%
–wears hoodies - Obama 56%, Romney 40%, Other 4%
–Occupy Wall Street protesters - Obama 87%, Romney 2%, Other 11%
–smokes weed - Obama 64%, Romney 27%, Other 9%
–Reagan Democrats - Obama 44%, Romney 52%, Other 4%
–Hipster Christians - Obama 81%, Romney 5%, Other 14%
–Buddhists - Obama 73%, Romney 23%, Other 4%
–Jews - Obama 57%, Romney 40%, Other 3%
–Scientologists - Obama 65%, Romney 20%, Other 15%
–owns PS3 and XBOX360 - Obama 43%, Romney 54%, Other 3%
–Bob Marley fans - Obama 68%, Romney 20%, Other 12%
–Emo fans - Obama 72%, Romney 10%, Other 18%
–metalheads-  Obama 40%, Romney 51%, Other 9%

[Kung Fu Kenny]

–smokes weed: 100% Fluffeetalks

Excellent reference. Love him.

[Vermin Supreme]

–sport fans - Obama 40%, Romney 54%, Other 6%
–Scientologists - Obama 65%, Romney 20%, Other 15%
–owns PS3 and XBOX360 - Obama 43%, Romney 54%, Other 3%
–metalheads-  Obama 40%, Romney 51%, Other 9%

Sport fans are basically the average voting population. Minority fans will vote Democrat and white fans vote Republican.

Scientologists vote might be higher for Romney consider Romney favorite book is Battlefield Earth(didn't know this until I watch that video in this thread). Obama still wins this demographic though,

No way does Romney win the bottom two. Metalheads will more likely vote  strongly third party with Obama at 20% and Romney 15%. Obama wins the video gamer demographic by just having PS3 on his side. XBOX voters are more of a Romney voting base then PS3 demographic.

[perdedor]

–sport fans - Obama 40%, Romney 54%, Other 6%
–Scientologists - Obama 65%, Romney 20%, Other 15%
–owns PS3 and XBOX360 - Obama 43%, Romney 54%, Other 3%
–metalheads-  Obama 40%, Romney 51%, Other 9%

Sport fans are basically the average voting population. Minority fans will vote Democrat and white fans vote Republican.

Scientologists vote might be higher for Romney consider Romney favorite book is Battlefield Earth(didn't know this until I watch that video in this thread). Obama still wins this demographic though,

No way does Romney win the bottom two. Metalheads will more likely vote  strongly third party with Obama at 20% and Romney 15%. Obama wins the video gamer demographic by just having PS3 on his side. XBOX voters are more of a Romney voting base then PS3 demographic.

I initially thought that as well, but then I factored in NASCAR, golf, etc and then thought of the type of people that would typical identify as a "sports fan". My margin may be a bit high, but I think middle class white people are a group that is currently favorable territory for Romney.

Most metal heads I know are more conservative than fans of other music (spare country), at best libertarian, especially depending on how wide you want to set the metric for a "metal head". If you throw in fans of 80s metal and the like, this group trends even whiter for Romney.

Finally, I thought of the people who would have the financial capacity to own both a 360 and a PS3 (and thoroughly enjoy both). I think that would predominately be middle/upper middle class white people. This is pure conjecture though, I could certainly be wrong.

[Vermin Supreme]

–sport fans - Obama 40%, Romney 54%, Other 6%
–Scientologists - Obama 65%, Romney 20%, Other 15%
–owns PS3 and XBOX360 - Obama 43%, Romney 54%, Other 3%
–metalheads-  Obama 40%, Romney 51%, Other 9%

Sport fans are basically the average voting population. Minority fans will vote Democrat and white fans vote Republican.

Scientologists vote might be higher for Romney consider Romney favorite book is Battlefield Earth(didn't know this until I watch that video in this thread). Obama still wins this demographic though,

No way does Romney win the bottom two. Metalheads will more likely vote  strongly third party with Obama at 20% and Romney 15%. Obama wins the video gamer demographic by just having PS3 on his side. XBOX voters are more of a Romney voting base then PS3 demographic.

I initially thought that as well, but then I factored in NASCAR, golf, etc and then thought of the type of people that would typical identify as a "sports fan". My margin may be a bit high, but I think middle class white people are a group that is currently favorable territory for Romney.

Most metal heads I know are more conservative than fans of other music (spare country), at best libertarian, especially depending on how wide you want to set the metric for a "metal head". If you throw in fans of 80s metal and the like, this group trends even whiter for Romney.

Finally, I thought of the people who would have the financial capacity to own both a 360 and a PS3 (and thoroughly enjoy both). I think that would predominately be middle/upper middle class white people. This is pure conjecture though, I could certainly be wrong.

Fair enough about redneck racing and golf. I wager NFL is lean Republican, NHL lean Democratic, MLB lean Republican, and NBA strong Democratic. All of this based on the demographics that watch those sports.

Libertarian is the best word to describe most metalheads political views. Besides three metal heads that I knew that were leftists, all the rest of them have been supporting Ron Paul for president. And they also tend to be very anti politically correct when they speak out.

Someone who could own both are more likely to be more younger and educated, which will trend into D column.

[Wisconsin+17]

Strippers: 10% Obama, 90%  not voting
9/11 truthers: 50% Obama, 5% Romney, 35% third party,
sport fans: 25% Obama, 30% Romney, 45% not voting
Teabaggers: 5% Obama, 5% Romney, 80% third party, 10% not voting
wears hoodies: 30% Obama, 5% Romney, 60% not voting
Occupy Wall Street protesters: 10% Obama,  90% not voting
smokes weed: 10% Obama, 90% not voting
Reagan Democrats: 10% Obama, 15% Romney, 45% Third Party, 30% not voting
Hipster Christians: 5% Obama, 25% Romney, 35% third party, 40% not voting
Buddhists: 75% Obama, 5% Romney, 5% third party, 20% not voting
Jews: 20% Obama, 30% Romney, , 20% third party, 30% not voting
Scientologists: 35% Obama, 25% Romney, 40% not voting
owns PS3 and XBOX360 (as in, owns both of them?): 25% Obama, 5% Romney, 15% third party, 55% not voting
Bob Marley fans: 5% Obama, 0% Romney, 5% third party, 90% not voting
Emo fans: 5% Obama, 5% Romney, 90% not voting
metalheads: 5% Obama, 0% Romney, 5% third party, 90% not voting

[Wisconsin+17]

I really don't see much actual voting from the Occupy crowd, I'm kind of shocked that you have their participation so high. Very few actual young people choose to vote as compared with their total numbers.

Apply that to metalheads, etc.

Teaparty isn't going to break for Mitt.

[perdedor]

–sport fans - Obama 40%, Romney 54%, Other 6%
–Scientologists - Obama 65%, Romney 20%, Other 15%
–owns PS3 and XBOX360 - Obama 43%, Romney 54%, Other 3%
–metalheads-  Obama 40%, Romney 51%, Other 9%

Sport fans are basically the average voting population. Minority fans will vote Democrat and white fans vote Republican.

Scientologists vote might be higher for Romney consider Romney favorite book is Battlefield Earth(didn't know this until I watch that video in this thread). Obama still wins this demographic though,

No way does Romney win the bottom two. Metalheads will more likely vote  strongly third party with Obama at 20% and Romney 15%. Obama wins the video gamer demographic by just having PS3 on his side. XBOX voters are more of a Romney voting base then PS3 demographic.

I initially thought that as well, but then I factored in NASCAR, golf, etc and then thought of the type of people that would typical identify as a "sports fan". My margin may be a bit high, but I think middle class white people are a group that is currently favorable territory for Romney.

Most metal heads I know are more conservative than fans of other music (spare country), at best libertarian, especially depending on how wide you want to set the metric for a "metal head". If you throw in fans of 80s metal and the like, this group trends even whiter for Romney.

Finally, I thought of the people who would have the financial capacity to own both a 360 and a PS3 (and thoroughly enjoy both). I think that would predominately be middle/upper middle class white people. This is pure conjecture though, I could certainly be wrong.

Fair enough about redneck racing and golf. I wager NFL is lean Republican, NHL lean Democratic, MLB lean Republican, and NBA strong Democratic. All of this based on the demographics that watch those sports.

Libertarian is the best word to describe most metalheads political views. Besides three metal heads that I knew that were leftists, all the rest of them have been supporting Ron Paul for president. And they also tend to be very anti politically correct when they speak out.

Someone who could own both are more likely to be more younger and educated, which will trend into D column.

You could be right if we are talking solely about people who have bought both systems for themselves. However, I would wager that the majority of gaming systems are purchased by parents for their children (pure conjecture based on observation); and if they count as "owners" then it could very well be a Romney-leaning group.

[Alcon]

I really don't see much actual voting from the Occupy crowd, I'm kind of shocked that you have their participation so high. Very few actual young people choose to vote as compared with their total numbers.

Apply that to metalheads, etc.

Especially since not all Occupy protesters are young, and they're probably disproportionately political (aside from the homeless and anarchist types), a 10% turnout rate seems crazy low.

I also think a 90% non-voting rate by "Bob Marley fans" seems a little excessive...it's not all like they're pot-smoking losers, and besides, plenty of pot-smoking losers vote in Presidential elections; plenty of everyone do.

What exactly are you expecting youth VAT to be in this scenario (or are you including under-18s in your percentages)?

Teaparty isn't going to break for Mitt.

What odds are you willing to put on that?

[Wisconsin+17]

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Well, I'd need confirmation whether we are talking about eligible voters or no. We're seeing, what, 10 percent of the total being people under 40 in most primaries?

I'd argue only about 10 percent of those under 40 are politically active, (and disproportionately represented here). It's not so much that marley fans don't vote, but that young people don't. Voter participation steadily drops too as the boomers get older.

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Given the distribution of Mitt support? Depends on who the third party is, plenty of us in the party will break with the republicans if they nominate Mitt.