Romney hopes to wrap it up with PA win on 4/24

[Likely Voter]

According to Mike Allen of Politico, Romney is looking for a knockout punch on 4/24:

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If Romney did win PA, he would likely win the rest of the states (NY, CT, RI, DE) with a big delegate haul (but he would still need a few hundred for the nomination). It would also probably be the day that Santorum was mathematically eliminated from being able to get a majority before the convention (he would need more delegates than those remaining).

So if Mitt can pull off a PA win? Would he be called the "presumptive nominee"? Would Rick drop out? If not, would it change the dynamics in May with some less than friendly territory for Romney (NC, IN, WV, NE, OR, KY, AR, TX)?

Transversely could Rick pull off his own game changer by winning PA and a couple of 'away games' in Romney territory. DE should be especially interesting as it is WTA and the GOPers there actually nominated a Witch.

[I'm JewCon in name only.]

Romney's a prick.

If trying to steal someone's homestate primary is the only way to "look like a nominee", maybe, just maybe you don't deserve to be the nominee.

[Old Man Willow]

Probably not, but he needs to change his campaign narrative. He needs to become a passionate warrior. If he does that, he could very well do OK, he might have a shot at winning my county.

[Eraserhead]

Meh, I doubt Santorum loses PA. Romney will win all of the other states on that day though (except maybe DE) which would still basically serve as a knockout punch.

[argentarius]

What Romney really needs to focus on is Delaware rather than PA. I think it would be embrassing for him to lose Delaware on what is meant to be a huge day for him.

[J. J.]

Romney's a prick.

If trying to steal someone's homestate primary is the only way to "look like a nominee", maybe, just maybe you don't deserve to be the nominee.

Delegates.

[Eraserhead]

Romney's a prick.

If trying to steal someone's homestate primary is the only way to "look like a nominee", maybe, just maybe you don't deserve to be the nominee.

Delegates.

The PA primary is just a beauty contest.

[J. J.]

Romney's a prick.

If trying to steal someone's homestate primary is the only way to "look like a nominee", maybe, just maybe you don't deserve to be the nominee.

Delegates.

The PA primary is just a beauty contest.

Yep.  There isn't even a delegate preference listed on the ballot.

[Keystone Phil]

As has been said countless times, the direct election of delegates here benefits Romney tremendously but he won't win the state unless he's on a clear roll before April 24th. Santorum will still win the beauty contest primary.

By the way, as was also stated here, Romney has other worries on the 24th. Delaware is far from a sure thing (see: southern DE) and I think with the types of Republicans in RI, Rick could win there, too.

[Torie]

As has been said countless times, the direct election of delegates here benefits Romney tremendously but he won't win the state unless he's on a clear roll before April 24th. Santorum will still win the beauty contest primary.

By the way, as was also stated here, Romney has other worries on the 24th. Delaware is far from a sure thing (see: southern DE) and I think with the types of Republicans in RI, Rick could win there, too.

They voted for Christine.    Oh, Christine is supporting Romney. Whatever. If Rick is still in the hunt, he will most definitely carry Sussex, and maybe Dover. But unlike with Castle, it won't be enough to upend Mittens statewide. He will win Wilmington County in a landslide - unlike Castle.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Keep in mind that Mittens wants to win the election, Castle kind of expected the election and wasn't prepared for a competative primary at all. In that sense, he got caught off guard by the final six weeks push by the TP express and such. Romney is more conservative then castle and has been fighting and winning states that have nominated such loons alreadly. Remember Nevada and Alaska? How did the "well they nominated nutcase so and so, no way they vote Mitt" work out there? Colorado you say, simple, Romney wasn't prepared for Santorum momentum in early February.

[Bull Moose Base]

In a nutshell, April looks very friendly for Romney, May much more unfriendly. So of course Romney wants his inevitability accepted before May and the symbolism of winning Santorum's own state and sweeping April would do it.  Santorum's only chance is somehow hanging on in April and turning momentum his way in May enough to create delegate deadlock.  The longer before his next win, the harder to stave off Romney inevitability, but not convinced a Newt withdrawal coupled with a series of May wins couldn't shake it up.

[You kip if you want to...]

Um, no.



And if the only way you can 'wrap it up' and secure you place as the nominee Mitt is by carrying your (latest) main opponent's home state, in a very late contest, you're not a very good front runner.

Weakest nominee since atleast Mondale, maybe even Goldwater. AGH.

[Lincoln Republican]

A Romney win in PA would be nice, but that is not going to happen.

Even I do not see Romney winning PA.

Romney, however, will win that day CT, NY, RI, and yes, DE.

And Romney will win his share of PA delegates as well.

So a very good day for Mitt indeed.

[I'm JewCon in name only.]

 i agree

[Lincoln Republican]

i agree

Thanks.

Wow, we actually see eye to eye on something.