March 13 Results

[Wisconsin+17]

Ha, every candidate could own an Island, if Paul can take the big Island.

[Alcon]

Danny de Gracia II ‏ @DannysKorner  Reply  Retweet  Favorite · Open
None of the big precincts have come in yet so hang on to your butts #808caucus #Hawaii #GOP

Guys, Danny de Gracia says hold on to your butts!!!  The Mormons are coming guys!!

[Bacon King]

Danny de Gracia II  ‏  @DannysKorner

None of the big precincts have come in yet so hang on to your butts #808caucus #Hawaii #GOP

[Wisconsin+17]

I'm declaring victory for ABR in Hawaii.

[RI]

Nothing from Kauai either.

[Wisconsin+17]

Maybe Kauai is for the Grinch.

That way everyone can have an island.

[Alcon]

24% reporting

Romney 31% (nc)
Santorum 28% (nc)
Paul 26% (nc)
Gingrich 15% (nc)

INTENSE.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Oh sure, Santorum had surprising wins in MS and AL and is doing much better than expected in HI, but a few dozen people at some restaurant in the American Samoa didn't like him one bit.

[Wisconsin+17]

24, Santorum holding.

Romney capped at 35 now.

Looks like Romney's going to be held to single digits.

[Alcon]

Ron Paul is 4 votes behind Mitt Romney in both Maui (88% in) and Hawaii (45% in) counties

[Lief 🗽]

IF ONLY THE RON PAUL SUPPORTERS HAD WAVED MORE SIGNS

[Alcon]

24, Santorum holding.

Romney capped at 35 now.

Looks like Romney's going to be held to single digits.

dude, I'm legitimately serious about Mormonia likely being in the higher-turnout, late-reporting precincts.  The most Republican precincts in Hawaii (McCain won a whole 2) are Mormon.

[Wisconsin+17]

SRSLY?

Mitt could be shut out of a county win in Hawaii?

[Lief 🗽]

It's kind of possible that Romney could win Hawaii while losing all the counties and congressional districts.

Of course Alcon's mythical Mormonia is going to ruin all of this, but still.

[Bacon King]

Oh sure, Santorum had surprising wins in MS and AL and is doing much better than expected in HI, but a few dozen people at some restaurant in the American Samoa didn't like him one bit.

To be fair, when you count the superdelegates among them, those dudes at the Samoan restaurant have almost as much say at the convention as the entire state of New Hampshire.

[Wisconsin+17]

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Max caps should still hold. I don't think Romney's gonna break 35 here.

[redcommander]

24, Santorum holding.

Romney capped at 35 now.

Looks like Romney's going to be held to single digits.

A win's a win. It doesn't matter what margin. It's not going change anything. Romney's the nominee all but officially.

[Alcon]

Way to be down, Atlas.

Up to 70% reporting, with Santorum trailing Romney, 35%-29%

New developments:

* Oahu got a little more Romney, but either Mormonia is taking its time or Romney is underperforming

* Tragically, Paul lost Maui by 9 votes

* However, with 82% in, Paul leads Romney 33%-28% on the big island!

* No one cares about Kauai

[Wisconsin+17]

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Right. Got his butt whooped tonight.

Calling HI for Romney.

35-29 should be the end call.

[Alcon]

I wouldn't call it quite yet, although I'd give like 90% odds of a Romney win.  Fairly big variance in the different results reports so far.

However, unless he really pulls away in later reports, this is going to be a mildly embarrassing vote for Romney -- perhaps because Hawaii started voting after Alabama and Mississippi were called.  A win is a win, but this is a fairly anemic win.

[Lief 🗽]

Atlas Forum crashes at the most inconvenient times*.

*4 am.

[Wisconsin+17]

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It was supposed to be a blowout.

Finally, Mormonia in, there we go.

[Alcon]

Told you about Mormonia.

91% reporting

Romney 46%
Santorum 25%
Paul 18%
Gingrich 11%

Oahu is now over 2-to-1 Romney.

Time to turn the lights off.

[Wisconsin+17]

As expected. Oh well.

Night all.

No mandate for Romney in Hawaii.

[argentarius]

Paul's gone under 20%. Does that mean anything with regards to threshold? He's doing very badly in Honolulu. Without that he could be winning.