Washington Caucus Predictions

[Beet]

The last poll from PPP released Mar. 1 (Feb. 19): R 37 (27), S 32 (38), P 16 (15), G 13 (12)

[ajb]

The last poll from PPP on Feb. 19: S 38, R 27, P 15, G 12

They're doing another one tonight and tomorrow, so I'll be a coward and wait for that.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

The last poll from PPP on Feb. 19: S 38, R 27, P 15, G 12

They're doing another one tonight and tomorrow, so I'll be a coward and wait for that.

I'd say it's probably close to their February 19th poll.

[bgwah]

I'd guess Santorum at around 40%, but who knows...

[Stranger in a strange land]

Santorum 39%
Romney 28%
Paul 21%
Gingrich 12%

[Alcon]

Romney has a small lead on the first night of PPP's poll, for what that's worth.

[Averroës Nix]

Here's my guess:

33% Romney
30% Santorum
27% Paul
10% Gingrich

As far as I can tell, Santorum remains a plausible winner, and Paul stands a real chance of taking second place.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

35 Santorum
31 Romney
23 Paul
11 Gingrich

[redcommander]

I'll go out on a limb and say Paul.

[Eraserhead]

I'm not gonna do the actual numbers until Friday but Romney should win and it may not even be close.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

I'm not gonna do the actual numbers until Friday but Romney should win and it may not even be close.

Out of curiousity, why do you think that?

[Eraserhead]

I'm not gonna do the actual numbers until Friday but Romney should win and it may not even be close.

Out of curiousity, why do you think that?

Because Santorum is done.

[Lief 🗽]

Romney 35%
Santorum 34%
Paul 25%
Gingrich 6%

[J. J.]

Romney 35%
Santorum 34%
Paul 25%
Gingrich 6%

Close, but:

Romney 36%
Santorum 35%
Paul 20%
Gingrich 9%

[defe07]

It might sound too obvious but I'm going with my gut feeling.

Paul 34.5%
Romney 34%
Santorum 26.5%
Gingrich 5%

[Kevin]

It's Washington so who knows....Paul could very well win here imo.

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

Romney 35%
Santorum 35%
Paul 20%
Gingrich 9%

[America First]

First post here!

Hopefully Paul will do well and gain some momentum.  At the very least, I hope he can be taken seriously at some point this election cycle, so that there can be a real dialogue concerning policies within the GOP.

Nobody wants another Bush, yet all these people keep running on Bush platforms (see: McCain/Romney), or Bush platforms with a side of nuttiness (see: Santorum/Gingrich).

I've always voted Republican most of the time, but I've had it and can't support any part of the disgusting Three Headed Beast.  The Three Headed Beast will do nothing about the budget deficit or restoring civil liberties.

[Averroës Nix]

I've always voted Republican most of the time, but I've had it and can't support any part of the disgusting Three Headed Beast.  The Three Headed Beast will do nothing about the budget deficit or restoring civil liberties.

Are you talking about Cerberus?

[Reluctant Republican]

I'd love for it to be Paul. I hope it's Santorum. but PPP's little hint saying Romney is leading has me worried, and leads me to think he probably has the best chance here.

Like to see more polling, but for right now, I'll say Romney by less then 2%.

[America First]

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Cerberus is way too badass to compare Romney/Santorum/Gingrich to.

[America First]

I'd love for it to be Paul. I hope it's Santorum. but PPP's little hint saying Romney is leading has me worried, and leads me to think he probably has the best chance here.

Like to see more polling, but for right now, I'll say Romney by less then 2%.

Thankfully, whatever Mittens gets in the polls, he'll get less come caucus day.  I'm pretty much with you in hoping Santorum wins unless Paul can pull it off.  I hope there's every bit as much chaos as possible within the GOP at this point.  They deserve everything that's happening to them, with their adherence to terrible Bush policies.

[Joe Biden 2020]

Frankly, I'm suprised to see Rick Santorum leading in the polls, even though they were taken still fresh off his Colorado and Minnesota victories.  I still think this is a razor-thin Romney victory on Saturday.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Romney, but narrowly. 

[Franzl]

Comfortable (5-10% margin) Romney victory, as of now.